Stock Analysis

Here's Why Aroundtown (ETR:AT1) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

XTRA:AT1
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Aroundtown SA (ETR:AT1) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Aroundtown

What Is Aroundtown's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Aroundtown had debt of €11.9b, up from €10.0b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €3.12b, its net debt is less, at about €8.74b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:AT1 Debt to Equity History April 17th 2021

How Strong Is Aroundtown's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Aroundtown had liabilities of €1.07b due within 12 months and liabilities of €14.4b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €3.12b as well as receivables valued at €357.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €12.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge €9.57b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Aroundtown has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.7 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 5.0 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. We saw Aroundtown grow its EBIT by 7.3% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Aroundtown can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Aroundtown produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 61% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Aroundtown's net debt to EBITDA was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Aroundtown's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Aroundtown (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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