Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, ACCENTRO Real Estate AG (ETR:A4Y) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for ACCENTRO Real Estate
How Much Debt Does ACCENTRO Real Estate Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2021 ACCENTRO Real Estate had €621.4m of debt, an increase on €464.3m, over one year. However, it also had €72.4m in cash, and so its net debt is €549.0m.
How Strong Is ACCENTRO Real Estate's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ACCENTRO Real Estate had liabilities of €178.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of €519.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €72.4m in cash and €114.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €510.3m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €170.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, ACCENTRO Real Estate would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
ACCENTRO Real Estate shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (29.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.3 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Fortunately, ACCENTRO Real Estate grew its EBIT by 9.2% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ACCENTRO Real Estate can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, ACCENTRO Real Estate saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both ACCENTRO Real Estate's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think ACCENTRO Real Estate has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that ACCENTRO Real Estate is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:A4Y
ACCENTRO Real Estate
Operates as a real estate company that focuses on residential properties in Germany.
Undervalued moderate.