Hufvudstaden Valuation

Is HFVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HFVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HFVA (€10.72) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€4.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HFVA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HFVA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HFVA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue11.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA24.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HFVA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HFVA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.9x
TEG TAG Immobilien
1.7x-32.9%€2.3b
AT1 Aroundtown
1.5x2.9%€2.1b
GYC Grand City Properties
3x0.8%€1.8b
DEQ Deutsche EuroShop
5.3x1.0%€1.4b
HFVA Hufvudstaden
8.3x1.4%€26.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HFVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (2.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HFVA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a89.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a89.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HFVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (2.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HFVA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HFVA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.3x
Fair PS Ratio2.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: HFVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HFVA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.72
€11.42
+6.5%
10.0%€13.09€9.60n/a6
Apr ’25€11.05
€11.41
+3.3%
10.0%€13.08€9.60n/a6
Mar ’25€10.75
€11.78
+9.6%
8.1%€13.34€10.67n/a6
Feb ’25€11.79
€11.63
-1.3%
7.5%€13.17€10.54n/a6
Jan ’25€12.82
€11.58
-9.7%
8.5%€13.45€10.31n/a6
Dec ’24€11.31
€11.29
-0.2%
9.3%€13.21€10.04n/a6
Nov ’24€9.85
€10.75
+9.2%
10.6%€13.00€9.56n/a6
Oct ’24€10.09
€10.75
+6.5%
10.6%€13.00€9.56n/a6
Sep ’24€10.44
€10.96
+5.0%
13.9%€13.83€9.22n/a6
Aug ’24€10.85
€11.71
+7.9%
13.0%€14.40€9.60n/a6
Jul ’24€10.58
€11.67
+10.3%
16.2%€15.36€9.39n/a6
Jun ’24€10.99
€11.78
+7.2%
16.2%€15.52€9.48n/a6
May ’24€12.50
€12.67
+1.4%
15.8%€16.28€9.95€10.726
Apr ’24€12.17
€12.67
+4.1%
15.8%€16.28€9.95€11.056
Mar ’24€13.54
€12.67
-6.4%
15.8%€16.28€9.95€10.756
Feb ’24€13.60
€12.38
-9.0%
18.0%€16.06€8.92€11.797
Jan ’24€13.42
€11.44
-14.7%
12.2%€14.06€9.07€12.827
Dec ’23€13.38
€11.41
-14.7%
13.2%€14.09€9.09€11.316
Nov ’23€11.91
€11.23
-5.7%
13.0%€14.03€9.05€9.857
Oct ’23€10.48
€11.39
+8.7%
14.9%€14.17€9.14€10.095
Sep ’23€11.59
€12.08
+4.2%
11.9%€14.68€10.89€10.445
Aug ’23€13.21
€12.94
-2.0%
12.8%€15.34€11.02€10.855
Jul ’23€10.28
€13.07
+27.1%
10.3%€15.04€11.28€10.585
Jun ’23€12.52
€13.26
+6.0%
10.3%€15.27€11.45€10.995
May ’23€12.25
€13.81
+12.7%
10.3%€15.52€11.64€12.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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