Aroundtown Valuation

Is AT1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AT1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AT1 (€1.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AT1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AT1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AT1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue11.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AT1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AT1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
GYC Grand City Properties
2.8x0.8%€1.7b
DEQ Deutsche EuroShop
5.6x2.8%€1.4b
TEG TAG Immobilien
1.6x-32.9%€2.2b
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
2.2xn/a€896.4m
AT1 Aroundtown
1.4x2.9%€2.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AT1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AT1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a89.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a89.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AT1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (3.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AT1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AT1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.4x
Fair PS Ratio2.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AT1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AT1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.90
€2.37
+24.9%
29.2%€3.50€1.20n/a15
Apr ’25€1.96
€2.37
+21.1%
28.6%€3.50€1.20n/a15
Mar ’25€1.66
€2.42
+45.8%
25.8%€3.50€1.20n/a16
Feb ’25€2.04
€2.42
+18.8%
25.8%€3.50€1.20n/a16
Jan ’25€2.48
€2.24
-9.3%
30.8%€3.50€1.20n/a16
Dec ’24€2.26
€2.25
-0.4%
31.8%€3.50€1.20n/a16
Nov ’24€2.13
€2.19
+2.6%
36.9%€3.50€1.15n/a15
Oct ’24€1.97
€2.11
+6.8%
41.2%€3.50€1.00n/a15
Sep ’24€1.52
€2.17
+42.9%
47.8%€4.50€1.00n/a15
Aug ’24€1.41
€2.25
+59.4%
45.4%€4.50€1.00n/a15
Jul ’24€1.06
€2.32
+119.5%
41.9%€4.50€1.00n/a16
Jun ’24€0.96
€2.59
+170.5%
42.4%€5.20€1.00n/a17
May ’24€1.23
€2.74
+122.9%
37.7%€5.20€1.00n/a16
Apr ’24€1.31
€3.13
+138.4%
50.4%€7.70€1.00€1.9616
Mar ’24€2.37
€3.42
+44.6%
42.8%€7.70€2.00€1.6617
Feb ’24€2.55
€3.42
+34.3%
42.8%€7.70€2.00€2.0417
Jan ’24€2.18
€3.63
+66.1%
39.2%€7.70€2.00€2.4817
Dec ’23€2.33
€4.01
+72.1%
42.6%€7.90€2.00€2.2617
Nov ’23€2.04
€4.61
+125.6%
41.3%€7.90€2.00€2.1317
Oct ’23€2.26
€5.03
+122.7%
36.2%€7.90€2.70€1.9717
Sep ’23€2.81
€5.25
+86.7%
30.8%€7.90€3.00€1.5217
Aug ’23€3.27
€5.58
+70.5%
30.3%€7.90€3.00€1.4117
Jul ’23€3.01
€6.30
+109.2%
22.0%€7.90€3.60€1.0617
Jun ’23€4.25
€6.69
+57.5%
16.9%€7.90€4.50€0.9618
May ’23€4.80
€6.91
+44.0%
16.1%€8.40€5.00€1.2318
Apr ’23€5.22
€7.03
+34.7%
16.4%€8.70€5.00€1.3118

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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