Deutsche EuroShop Valuation

Is DEQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DEQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DEQ (€19.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€16.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DEQ is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DEQ?

Key metric: As DEQ is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DEQ. This is calculated by dividing DEQ's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DEQ's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.5x
Sales€267.49m
Market Cap€1.46b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DEQ's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DEQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.5x
GYC Grand City Properties
3.3x1.5%€2.0b
ADL Adler Real Estate
2.1xn/a€980.4m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
6.8xn/a€903.2m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
1.8xn/a€816.4m
DEQ Deutsche EuroShop
5.5x1.1%€1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DEQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DEQ's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DMRE DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate
0.5x-42.0%US$89.97m
ADJ Adler Group
0.1xn/aUS$50.47m
NUVA Noratis
0.3x16.6%US$16.46m
AMMN Grounds Real Estate Development
0.6xn/aUS$10.03m
DEQ 5.5xIndustry Avg. 3.6xNo. of Companies10PS02.85.68.411.214+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DEQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (3.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DEQ's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DEQ PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.5x
Fair PS Ratio6.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DEQ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DEQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.30
€22.06
+14.3%
14.9%€27.00€18.00n/a5
Nov ’25€20.55
€22.02
+7.2%
14.9%€27.00€18.00n/a5
Oct ’25€22.10
€23.03
+4.2%
12.6%€27.00€19.00n/a4
Sep ’25€22.95
€23.03
+0.3%
12.6%€27.00€19.00n/a4
Aug ’25€24.25
€21.48
-11.4%
9.2%€24.50€19.00n/a4
Jul ’25€22.65
€21.48
-5.2%
9.2%€24.50€19.00n/a4
Jun ’25€20.60
€21.58
+4.7%
9.1%€24.50€19.00n/a4
May ’25€18.90
€21.70
+14.8%
9.0%€24.50€19.00n/a4
Apr ’25€18.98
€22.83
+20.3%
5.4%€24.50€21.50n/a4
Mar ’25€18.78
€22.83
+21.5%
5.4%€24.50€21.50n/a4
Feb ’25€19.46
€22.83
+17.3%
5.4%€24.50€21.50n/a4
Jan ’25€22.55
€21.95
-2.7%
7.4%€24.50€20.00n/a4
Dec ’24€19.40
€22.03
+13.5%
7.4%€24.50€20.00n/a4
Nov ’24€17.34
€20.88
+20.4%
12.1%€24.50€17.50€20.554
Oct ’24€18.28
€20.88
+14.2%
12.1%€24.50€17.50€22.104
Sep ’24€20.90
€21.25
+1.7%
12.7%€24.50€17.50€22.954
Aug ’24€22.15
€21.67
-2.2%
5.8%€23.00€20.00€24.253
Jul ’24€20.90
€21.50
+2.9%
7.0%€23.00€20.00€22.652
Jun ’24€20.10
€22.00
+9.5%
6.4%€23.00€20.00€20.603
May ’24€20.45
€22.00
+7.6%
6.4%€23.00€20.00€18.903
Apr ’24€19.27
€22.00
+14.2%
5.6%€23.00€20.00€18.984
Mar ’24€21.30
€22.06
+3.6%
5.0%€23.00€20.00€18.785
Feb ’24€21.60
€22.06
+2.1%
5.0%€23.00€20.00€19.465
Jan ’24€22.12
€22.10
-0.09%
5.0%€23.00€20.00€22.555
Dec ’23€21.94
€22.10
+0.7%
5.0%€23.00€20.00€19.405
Nov ’23€21.52
€22.58
+4.9%
6.6%€25.00€20.00€17.346

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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