Stock Analysis

PATRIZIA (ETR:PAT) Is Increasing Its Dividend To €0.33

XTRA:PAT
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PATRIZIA SE's (ETR:PAT) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to €0.33 on 30th of May. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 3.6%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

See our latest analysis for PATRIZIA

PATRIZIA's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 399% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 25%. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 63%, which would make us comfortable with the dividend's sustainability, despite the levels currently being elevated.

historic-dividend
XTRA:PAT Historic Dividend May 5th 2023

PATRIZIA Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

It is great to see that PATRIZIA has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from €0.25 total annually to €0.33. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 5.7% over that duration. PATRIZIA has been growing its dividend at a decent rate, and the payments have been stable. However, the payment history is very short, so there is no evidence yet that the dividend can be sustained over a full economic cycle.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. PATRIZIA's earnings per share has shrunk at 33% a year over the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think PATRIZIA's payments are rock solid. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for PATRIZIA that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is PATRIZIA not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.