Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Grand City Properties S.A. (ETR:GYC) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
We've discovered 1 warning sign about Grand City Properties. View them for free.Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Grand City Properties's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Grand City Properties had €4.44b of debt, at December 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had €1.51b in cash, and so its net debt is €2.92b.
How Strong Is Grand City Properties' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Grand City Properties had liabilities of €705.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €5.10b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €1.51b in cash and €79.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €4.21b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €1.81b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Grand City Properties would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
Check out our latest analysis for Grand City Properties
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.8, it's fair to say Grand City Properties does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 5.5 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. We saw Grand City Properties grow its EBIT by 5.8% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Grand City Properties's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Grand City Properties produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 80% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
To be frank both Grand City Properties's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Grand City Properties's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Grand City Properties that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:GYC
Grand City Properties
Engages in the residential real estate business in Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Good value with questionable track record.
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