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Subdued Growth No Barrier To FCR Immobilien AG (ETR:FC9) With Shares Advancing 28%
Despite an already strong run, FCR Immobilien AG (ETR:FC9) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 17% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about FCR Immobilien's P/E ratio of 17.5x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Germany is also close to 17x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
FCR Immobilien could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for FCR Immobilien
How Is FCR Immobilien's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like FCR Immobilien's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 40%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 38% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.3% per annum during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 16% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that FCR Immobilien is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
FCR Immobilien appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of FCR Immobilien's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You need to take note of risks, for example - FCR Immobilien has 4 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:FC9
Slight second-rate dividend payer.
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