The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that ACCENTRO Real Estate AG (ETR:A4Y) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for ACCENTRO Real Estate
What Is ACCENTRO Real Estate's Debt?
As you can see below, ACCENTRO Real Estate had €566.8m of debt at December 2022, down from €606.3m a year prior. However, it also had €100.8m in cash, and so its net debt is €466.0m.
A Look At ACCENTRO Real Estate's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that ACCENTRO Real Estate had liabilities of €408.9m due within a year, and liabilities of €220.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €100.8m and €74.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €454.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €47.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, ACCENTRO Real Estate would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
ACCENTRO Real Estate shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (36.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.55 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, ACCENTRO Real Estate's EBIT was down 61% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ACCENTRO Real Estate can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, ACCENTRO Real Estate actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
To be frank both ACCENTRO Real Estate's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think ACCENTRO Real Estate has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example ACCENTRO Real Estate has 4 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:A4Y
ACCENTRO Real Estate
Operates as a real estate company that focuses on residential properties in Germany.
Undervalued moderate.