Astellas Pharma Inc.

DB:YPH Stock Report

Market Cap: €16.7b

Astellas Pharma Valuation

Is YPH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YPH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YPH (€9.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€28.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YPH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YPH?

Key metric: As YPH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YPH. This is calculated by dividing YPH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YPH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio49.7x
EarningsJP¥54.75b
Market CapJP¥2.72t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YPH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YPH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average67.4x
MRK Merck KGaA
23.1x10.3%€62.2b
DMP Dermapharm Holding
23.8x17.3%€2.2b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
16.7x13.6%€314.1m
SRT3 Sartorius
206x30.1%€14.4b
YPH Astellas Pharma
49.7x25.4%€2.7t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YPH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.7x) compared to the peer average (67.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YPH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YPH 49.7xIndustry Avg. 19.8xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YPH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.7x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YPH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YPH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio49.7x
Fair PE Ratio24.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YPH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YPH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.35
€12.13
+29.7%
13.3%€15.27€8.55n/a16
Jan ’26€9.05
€12.26
+35.4%
13.3%€15.43€8.64n/a16
Dec ’25€9.56
€12.12
+26.7%
13.3%€15.25€8.54n/a16
Nov ’25€10.59
€11.89
+12.3%
12.2%€15.02€8.41n/a16
Oct ’25€10.60
€12.36
+16.6%
11.9%€14.58€8.87n/a16
Sep ’25€10.96
€11.82
+7.9%
13.1%€14.22€8.66n/a15
Aug ’25€10.41
€10.65
+2.3%
14.4%€13.41€7.00n/a15
Jul ’25€8.88
€10.95
+23.3%
15.4%€13.57€7.08n/a15
Jun ’25€8.81
€11.54
+31.1%
21.2%€18.62€7.05n/a16
May ’25€8.75
€11.99
+37.0%
20.5%€18.77€7.10n/a16
Apr ’25€9.78
€13.16
+34.5%
20.5%€19.48€9.22n/a15
Mar ’25€10.07
€13.84
+37.4%
24.2%€21.51€9.22n/a15
Feb ’25€10.38
€15.11
+45.6%
23.2%€21.86€9.37n/a15
Jan ’25€10.98
€15.70
+43.0%
22.7%€22.25€9.54€9.0515
Dec ’24€10.88
€16.07
+47.7%
19.5%€24.07€11.73€9.5615
Nov ’24€11.46
€16.83
+46.9%
18.8%€24.46€12.54€10.5915
Oct ’24€12.90
€17.25
+33.8%
18.6%€24.05€12.66€10.6014
Sep ’24€13.74
€17.38
+26.6%
19.8%€24.11€12.69€10.9615
Aug ’24€13.08
€17.36
+32.7%
20.2%€24.13€12.07€10.4115
Jul ’24€13.43
€17.60
+31.1%
18.9%€23.79€13.32€8.8814
Jun ’24€14.82
€18.44
+24.5%
19.7%€25.11€14.06€8.8114
May ’24€13.42
€18.40
+37.1%
18.5%€23.86€14.58€8.7512
Apr ’24€12.84
€17.91
+39.6%
19.8%€24.88€13.13€9.7813
Mar ’24€13.05
€18.05
+38.3%
21.2%€26.38€13.19€10.0713
Feb ’24€13.33
€18.61
+39.6%
20.0%€26.93€14.17€10.3813
Jan ’24€14.20
€18.14
+27.7%
18.1%€26.35€13.87€10.9813

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 23:24
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Astellas Pharma Inc. is covered by 31 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Atsushi SekiBarclays
Koichi MameganoBofA Global Research
Hazim BahariCFRA Equity Research