Recordati Industria Chimica e Farmaceutica S.p.A.

DB:RER1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €10.5b

Recordati Industria Chimica e Farmaceutica Valuation

Is RER1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RER1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RER1 (€50.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€53.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RER1 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RER1?

Key metric: As RER1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RER1. This is calculated by dividing RER1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RER1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.9x
Earnings€423.12m
Market Cap€10.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RER1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RER1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.6x
DMP Dermapharm Holding
21.4x17.0%€1.9b
MRK Merck KGaA
22.8x10.9%€61.6b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
16.2x14.2%€304.6m
2FJ0 Pierrel
29.9xn/a€92.8m
RER1 Recordati Industria Chimica e Farmaceutica
24.9x11.5%€10.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RER1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RER1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RER1 24.9xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies13PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RER1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RER1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RER1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.9x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RER1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RER1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€50.90
€55.24
+8.5%
8.4%€63.00€48.00n/a10
Nov ’25€52.40
€55.04
+5.0%
8.2%€63.00€48.00n/a10
Oct ’25€51.00
€53.49
+4.9%
9.7%€62.00€45.00n/a10
Sep ’25€52.45
€53.49
+2.0%
9.7%€62.00€45.00n/a10
Aug ’25€50.35
€53.09
+5.4%
10.1%€62.00€45.00n/a10
Jul ’25€47.78
€52.64
+10.2%
10.8%€62.00€44.00n/a10
Jun ’25€48.20
€52.24
+8.4%
11.7%€62.00€44.00n/a10
May ’25€48.66
€52.14
+7.2%
12.0%€62.00€43.00n/a10
Apr ’25€50.24
€50.84
+1.2%
10.4%€57.00€43.00n/a10
Mar ’25€51.56
€50.04
-2.9%
12.1%€57.00€41.00n/a10
Feb ’25€50.78
€48.45
-4.6%
12.3%€57.00€41.00n/a10
Jan ’25€48.52
€48.15
-0.8%
11.6%€56.00€41.00n/a10
Dec ’24€44.25
€48.15
+8.8%
11.6%€56.00€41.00n/a10
Nov ’24€43.68
€47.54
+8.8%
12.5%€56.00€41.00€52.4010
Oct ’24€44.43
€47.54
+7.0%
12.5%€56.00€41.00€51.0010
Sep ’24€45.74
€46.85
+2.4%
12.9%€56.00€40.00€52.4511
Aug ’24€46.50
€46.40
-0.2%
13.2%€56.00€38.00€50.3511
Jul ’24€42.61
€45.99
+7.9%
12.2%€54.00€38.00€47.7811
Jun ’24€41.04
€45.99
+12.1%
12.2%€54.00€38.00€48.2011
May ’24€40.57
€45.20
+11.4%
11.3%€52.00€37.00€48.669
Apr ’24€38.50
€44.98
+16.8%
10.8%€51.00€37.00€50.249
Mar ’24€38.99
€44.74
+14.7%
11.5%€51.00€35.00€51.5611
Feb ’24€39.44
€45.37
+15.0%
10.4%€53.00€39.00€50.7811
Jan ’24€38.50
€44.65
+16.0%
10.2%€53.00€39.00€48.5211
Dec ’23€40.27
€44.80
+11.2%
10.6%€53.00€39.00€44.2510
Nov ’23€37.81
€45.05
+19.1%
9.4%€53.00€39.00€43.6811

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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