Orion Oyj Valuation

Is OFK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OFK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OFK (€44.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€55.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OFK is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OFK?

Key metric: As OFK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OFK. This is calculated by dividing OFK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OFK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.8x
Earnings€331.70m
Market Cap€6.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OFK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OFK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.2x
DMP Dermapharm Holding
20.5x18.1%€1.9b
MRK Merck KGaA
22.6x10.7%€60.9b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
16.1x14.6%€292.6m
2FJ0 Pierrel
29.9xn/a€92.8m
OFK Orion Oyj
18.8x9.3%€6.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OFK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x) compared to the peer average (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OFK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OFK 18.8xIndustry Avg. 20.7xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OFK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OFK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OFK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.8x
Fair PE Ratio16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OFK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OFK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€44.58
€49.17
+10.3%
16.9%€63.00€35.00n/a6
Nov ’25€45.06
€49.00
+8.7%
16.9%€63.00€35.00n/a6
Oct ’25€48.83
€47.17
-3.4%
18.8%€63.00€35.00n/a6
Sep ’25€48.05
€43.92
-8.6%
11.7%€50.00€35.00n/a6
Aug ’25€42.52
€39.00
-8.3%
16.8%€45.00€28.00n/a5
Jul ’25€40.32
€38.60
-4.3%
16.1%€44.00€28.00n/a5
Jun ’25€36.94
€39.00
+5.6%
17.2%€47.00€28.00n/a5
May ’25€35.66
€39.00
+9.4%
17.2%€47.00€28.00n/a5
Apr ’25€34.52
€39.90
+15.6%
17.9%€47.00€28.00n/a5
Mar ’25€36.63
€39.90
+8.9%
17.9%€47.00€28.00n/a5
Feb ’25€42.69
€43.93
+2.9%
13.9%€50.00€35.00n/a6
Jan ’25€39.07
€42.85
+9.7%
11.9%€48.00€35.00n/a6
Dec ’24€36.71
€42.52
+15.8%
12.2%€48.00€35.00n/a6
Nov ’24€36.00
€41.47
+15.2%
16.8%€48.00€28.70€45.066
Oct ’24€36.99
€41.28
+11.6%
17.8%€48.50€28.70€48.836
Sep ’24€38.14
€40.10
+5.1%
18.4%€48.50€28.70€48.057
Aug ’24€34.92
€40.10
+14.8%
18.4%€48.50€28.70€42.527
Jul ’24€38.03
€42.67
+12.2%
18.1%€51.00€28.70€40.327
Jun ’24€40.28
€42.67
+5.9%
18.1%€51.00€28.70€36.947
May ’24€42.58
€41.03
-3.6%
18.2%€51.00€28.70€35.667
Apr ’24€41.11
€41.24
+0.3%
18.7%€51.00€28.70€34.527
Mar ’24€44.10
€41.24
-6.5%
18.7%€51.00€28.70€36.637
Feb ’24€48.73
€45.24
-7.2%
20.0%€58.00€28.70€42.697
Jan ’24€51.68
€43.96
-14.9%
19.4%€58.00€28.70€39.077
Dec ’23€51.16
€39.96
-21.9%
21.3%€50.00€27.00€36.717
Nov ’23€46.59
€39.96
-14.2%
21.3%€50.00€27.00€36.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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