Calliditas Therapeutics AB (publ)

DB:LC8 Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.2b

Calliditas Therapeutics Valuation

Is LC8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LC8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LC8 (€17.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€955.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LC8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LC8?

Key metric: As LC8 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LC8. This is calculated by dividing LC8's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LC8's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio6.8x
SalesSEK 1.60b
Market CapSEK 126.85b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LC8's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LC8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
BAYN Bayer
0.4x1.0%€18.6b
DMP Dermapharm Holding
1.7x4.1%€2.0b
MRK Merck KGaA
2.9x4.1%€61.6b
93M1 MPH Health Care
0.9x-60.2%€102.8m
LC8 Calliditas Therapeutics
6.8x34.3%€11.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LC8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LC8's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LC8 6.8xIndustry Avg. 2.9xNo. of Companies33PS0612182430+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LC8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.8x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (3.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LC8's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LC8 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6.8x
Fair PS Ratio14.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LC8 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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