Johnson & Johnson Valuation

Is JNJ0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JNJ0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JNJ0 (€12.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€30.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JNJ0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JNJ0?

Key metric: As JNJ0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JNJ0. This is calculated by dividing JNJ0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JNJ0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.5x
EarningsUS$14.77b
Market CapUS$348.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JNJ0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JNJ0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
MRK Merck KGaA
22.6x10.3%€61.0b
DMP Dermapharm Holding
24.5x17.3%€2.2b
ROG Roche Holding
19.2x10.5%CHF 205.2b
MRK Merck
20.7x12.2%US$251.6b
JNJ0 Johnson & Johnson
23.5x9.4%€348.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JNJ0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JNJ0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JNJ0 23.5xIndustry Avg. 19.7xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JNJ0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (19.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JNJ0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JNJ0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.5x
Fair PE Ratio26.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JNJ0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 12:26
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/29
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Johnson & Johnson is covered by 59 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ToungArgus Research Company
Charles ButlerBarclays
Matt MiksicBarclays