Gilead Sciences Valuation

Is GIS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GIS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GIS (€61) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€184.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GIS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GIS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GIS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GIS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GIS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.8x
BIO3 Biotest
8.9x-53.2%€1.4b
MRK Merck KGaA
23.1x10.0%€65.3b
SRT3 Sartorius
130.9x28.5%€17.3b
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals
24.2x10.9%US$95.7b
GIS Gilead Sciences
14.4x10.1%€83.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GIS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the peer average (46.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GIS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GIS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (30.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GIS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GIS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.4x
Fair PE Ratio28.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GIS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GIS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€61.00
€79.15
+29.8%
13.7%€112.80€64.32n/a24
Apr ’25€67.98
€79.40
+16.8%
12.6%€111.14€63.38n/a26
Mar ’25€66.62
€81.29
+22.0%
12.5%€111.95€63.84n/a27
Feb ’25€71.92
€82.88
+15.2%
11.9%€106.86€63.56n/a27
Jan ’25€73.10
€81.66
+11.7%
11.9%€105.07€62.50n/a27
Dec ’24€70.36
€83.36
+18.5%
11.7%€106.98€65.48n/a27
Nov ’24€75.88
€85.69
+12.9%
11.2%€109.30€66.90n/a26
Oct ’24€71.12
€85.52
+20.3%
10.8%€108.62€66.48n/a26
Sep ’24€70.92
€84.10
+18.6%
10.3%€106.33€73.33n/a24
Aug ’24€69.10
€82.84
+19.9%
10.1%€103.96€69.61n/a25
Jul ’24€69.88
€85.53
+22.4%
9.8%€106.21€71.12n/a25
Jun ’24€70.90
€86.31
+21.7%
9.8%€107.20€71.78n/a25
May ’24€73.62
€84.00
+14.1%
8.8%€104.36€72.60n/a25
Apr ’24€76.30
€85.95
+12.6%
9.7%€108.34€72.54€67.9822
Mar ’24€74.62
€86.19
+15.5%
10.4%€107.54€72.00€66.6223
Feb ’24€76.73
€80.86
+5.4%
12.4%€102.33€58.08€71.9224
Jan ’24€79.40
€79.86
+0.6%
13.0%€98.89€59.33€73.1024
Dec ’23€83.88
€78.14
-6.8%
12.2%€99.75€59.85€70.3624
Nov ’23€80.20
€79.59
-0.8%
12.9%€99.22€63.78€75.8824
Oct ’23€64.09
€71.04
+10.8%
11.1%€89.79€55.87€71.1223
Sep ’23€65.00
€70.34
+8.2%
11.3%€89.84€55.90€70.9223
Aug ’23€58.20
€68.64
+17.9%
11.3%€88.03€54.77€69.1023
Jul ’23€58.83
€65.90
+12.0%
11.3%€85.16€52.99€69.8823
Jun ’23€60.72
€65.66
+8.1%
11.2%€84.20€52.39€70.9025
May ’23€56.32
€66.95
+18.9%
11.3%€85.34€53.10€73.6224
Apr ’23€53.30
€65.25
+22.4%
11.4%€81.35€50.62€76.3024

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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