BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc.

DB:BX2 Stock Report

Market Cap: €93.6m

BioXcel Therapeutics Valuation

Is BX2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BX2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BX2's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BX2's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BX2?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BX2 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue98.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-0.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does BX2's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for BX2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
2INV 2invest
0.9xn/a€50.6m
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma
3.1xn/a€141.2m
MDG1 Medigene
2x-3.1%€42.2m
FYB Formycon
1.4x3.1%€701.1m
BX2 BioXcel Therapeutics
n/a38.9%€100.4m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: BX2 has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-1.7x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BX2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: BX2 has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-1.7x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (2.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BX2's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BX2 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio-1.7x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BX2's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BX2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.52
€6.77
+168.9%
41.7%€11.21€3.27n/a6
Apr ’25€2.70
€6.82
+153.1%
43.1%€11.04€3.22n/a6
Mar ’25€2.91
€8.78
+201.9%
51.5%€16.63€3.70n/a6
Feb ’25€2.92
€9.68
+231.4%
39.9%€16.60€3.69n/a6
Jan ’25€2.66
€9.68
+264.0%
39.9%€16.60€3.69n/a6
Dec ’24€3.45
€9.68
+180.7%
39.9%€16.60€3.69n/a6
Nov ’24€4.08
€9.44
+131.3%
50.4%€18.88€3.78n/a7
Oct ’24€2.37
€11.80
+397.2%
66.5%€28.98€3.74n/a8
Sep ’24€3.47
€11.61
+234.4%
66.5%€28.50€3.68n/a8
Aug ’24€6.79
€42.69
+528.7%
43.2%€66.71€10.67n/a8
Jul ’24€6.20
€41.51
+569.6%
52.4%€68.73€11.91n/a10
Jun ’24€17.87
€47.87
+167.9%
35.9%€69.98€22.39n/a10
May ’24€18.85
€47.50
+152.0%
35.0%€68.78€20.17n/a10
Apr ’24€16.75
€47.96
+186.3%
34.6%€69.04€20.25€2.7010
Mar ’24€29.51
€51.79
+75.5%
37.5%€77.36€18.87€2.9110
Feb ’24€24.97
€42.52
+70.3%
53.2%€75.14€18.33€2.9210
Jan ’24€19.32
€43.62
+125.8%
58.3%€79.56€14.98€2.6610
Dec ’23€15.59
€43.70
+180.3%
60.2%€80.75€15.20€3.4510
Nov ’23€12.49
€47.30
+278.7%
62.3%€91.16€10.13€4.0810
Oct ’23€11.36
€46.83
+312.2%
62.3%€90.24€10.03€2.3710
Sep ’23€13.37
€46.83
+250.4%
62.3%€90.24€10.03€3.4710
Aug ’23€14.76
€48.63
+229.5%
67.5%€108.06€9.82€6.7910
Jul ’23€12.27
€50.73
+313.4%
63.4%€105.50€9.59€6.209
Jun ’23€10.76
€51.93
+382.8%
58.1%€102.92€9.36€17.8710
May ’23€12.15
€72.61
+497.9%
48.0%€125.06€15.87€18.8510
Apr ’23n/a
€74.19
0%
42.7%€118.74€14.61€16.759

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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