Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated

XTRA:VX1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €106.6b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is VX1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VX1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VX1 (€415.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€923.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VX1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VX1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VX1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA25x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VX1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VX1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.6x
MOR MorphoSys
10.2xn/a€2.5b
BIO3 Biotest
1.4x-4.1%€1.4b
MRK Merck KGaA
3.3x4.6%€69.6b
FYB Formycon
15.3x31.8%€930.5m
VX1 Vertex Pharmaceuticals
11.6x9.5%€119.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VX1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (7.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VX1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VX1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.6x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (9.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VX1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VX1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio11.6x
Fair PS Ratio5.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VX1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VX1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€415.15
€456.75
+10.0%
13.7%€537.54€291.17n/a29
Sep ’25€446.30
€462.81
+3.7%
13.7%€544.68€295.04n/a29
Aug ’25€469.55
€448.48
-4.5%
12.7%€545.83€301.18n/a30
Jul ’25€441.40
€437.55
-0.9%
12.8%€539.15€303.68n/a29
Jun ’25€407.00
€427.28
+5.0%
12.5%€531.88€299.59n/a28
May ’25€369.25
€428.55
+16.1%
12.2%€535.08€302.97n/a29
Apr ’25€387.00
€425.41
+9.9%
12.4%€529.57€299.85n/a29
Mar ’25€396.90
€425.42
+7.2%
12.6%€532.92€299.65n/a28
Feb ’25€399.60
€401.70
+0.5%
13.9%€514.28€288.88n/a27
Jan ’25€371.20
€371.73
+0.1%
11.0%€454.00€285.11n/a28
Dec ’24€326.90
€363.95
+11.3%
9.2%€419.20€288.66n/a28
Nov ’24€347.50
€366.12
+5.4%
9.4%€431.51€297.14n/a28
Oct ’24€332.50
€363.65
+9.4%
9.3%€431.33€297.01n/a27
Sep ’24€326.40
€355.56
+8.9%
9.4%€421.94€290.54€446.3027
Aug ’24€318.95
€345.82
+8.4%
9.9%€415.19€278.61€469.5527
Jul ’24€321.65
€343.89
+6.9%
9.3%€417.88€280.42€441.4027
Jun ’24€298.40
€346.87
+16.2%
10.0%€425.04€284.29€407.0028
May ’24€309.75
€307.38
-0.8%
9.5%€400.15€255.22€369.2526
Apr ’24€287.90
€310.19
+7.7%
9.5%€408.50€259.95€387.0026
Mar ’24€272.75
€309.47
+13.5%
9.7%€409.64€260.68€396.9026
Feb ’24€300.50
€303.64
+1.0%
10.3%€405.64€258.13€399.6026
Jan ’24€270.10
€313.61
+16.1%
10.8%€426.23€256.71€371.2025
Dec ’23€304.80
€313.61
+2.9%
10.8%€426.23€256.71€326.9025
Nov ’23€319.65
€325.97
+2.0%
10.8%€447.48€268.29€347.5025
Oct ’23€299.05
€311.55
+4.2%
10.9%€390.95€251.25€332.5025
Sep ’23€280.15
€304.96
+8.9%
10.9%€382.58€245.88€326.4025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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