Stock Analysis

Is MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien's (ETR:MRK) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

XTRA:MRK
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MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien's (ETR:MRK) stock is up by a considerable 18% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien

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How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien is:

10% = €1.9b ÷ €18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every €1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn €0.10 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

To begin with, MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 11%. However, we are curious as to how MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien's decent returns still resulted in flat growth for MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien in the past five years. So, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

As a next step, we compared MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 10% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
XTRA:MRK Past Earnings Growth November 28th 2020

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for MRK? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 36% (meaning the company retains64% of profits) in the last three-year period, MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien's earnings growth was more or les flat. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

In addition, MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 19% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the lower expected payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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