Amgen Valuation

Is AMG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMG (€252.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€525.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AMG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.3x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average47.8x
BIO3 Biotest
8.9x-53.2%€1.4b
MRK Merck KGaA
23.4x10.0%€66.0b
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals
24.1x11.2%US$95.3b
SRT3 Sartorius
134.6x28.5%€17.9b
AMG Amgen
21.6x9.0%€144.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the peer average (47.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (30.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.6x
Fair PE Ratio30.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€252.25
€280.57
+11.2%
16.5%€355.07€158.85n/a24
Apr ’25€264.40
€281.95
+6.6%
16.7%€350.85€156.96n/a25
Mar ’25€259.80
€280.47
+8.0%
16.9%€350.21€156.67n/a24
Feb ’25€293.80
€268.89
-8.5%
16.1%€323.16€170.81n/a24
Jan ’25€260.40
€255.79
-1.8%
14.8%€305.39€168.15n/a24
Dec ’24€247.80
€253.09
+2.1%
14.5%€308.04€169.61n/a24
Nov ’24€243.00
€259.94
+7.0%
14.4%€317.96€175.07n/a23
Oct ’24€254.60
€245.58
-3.5%
14.1%€299.49€173.14n/a20
Sep ’24€238.00
€233.32
-2.0%
14.5%€284.15€160.41n/a20
Aug ’24€210.80
€225.30
+6.9%
13.7%€266.01€158.34n/a20
Jul ’24€202.80
€235.80
+16.3%
14.2%€302.25€162.75n/a20
Jun ’24€200.00
€235.80
+17.9%
14.2%€302.25€162.75n/a20
May ’24€215.80
€231.25
+7.2%
14.3%€296.24€159.51n/a20
Apr ’24€220.50
€236.88
+7.4%
14.7%€302.90€163.10€264.4019
Mar ’24€217.95
€237.54
+9.0%
14.8%€303.13€163.22€259.8019
Feb ’24€223.00
€237.40
+6.5%
14.8%€295.85€163.85€293.8019
Jan ’24€246.45
€249.41
+1.2%
15.2%€306.18€169.58€260.4019
Dec ’23€268.85
€247.26
-8.0%
15.0%€311.94€172.76€247.8018
Nov ’23€275.45
€256.47
-6.9%
12.0%€299.10€184.53€243.0021
Oct ’23€233.10
€249.23
+6.9%
12.0%€294.32€181.58€254.6021
Sep ’23€245.40
€250.15
+1.9%
12.0%€295.12€182.07€238.0021
Aug ’23€239.45
€244.14
+2.0%
12.0%€289.84€181.76€210.8021
Jul ’23€234.15
€233.25
-0.4%
12.0%€279.13€175.05€202.8022
Jun ’23€237.30
€232.21
-2.1%
11.5%€276.89€173.64€200.0023
May ’23€223.55
€234.32
+4.8%
11.8%€280.78€176.08€215.8022
Apr ’23€218.90
€221.07
+1.0%
11.5%€262.60€167.52€220.5022

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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