Genfit Valuation

Is XUP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XUP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XUP (€4.33) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XUP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XUP?

Key metric: As XUP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for XUP. This is calculated by dividing XUP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is XUP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.1x
Earnings€22.27m
Market Cap€202.44m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XUP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XUP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
FYB Formycon
12.9x31.5%€827.2m
BIO3 Biotest
15.8x29.3%€1.4b
2INV 2invest
12.7xn/a€63.8m
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
15.4x13.9%€280.6m
XUP Genfit
9.1x41.2%€202.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XUP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XUP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
XUP 9.1xIndustry Avg. 27.0xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XUP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (27x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XUP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XUP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XUP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XUP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€9.45
0%
17.0%€11.50€7.00n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
€9.45
0%
17.0%€11.50€7.00n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
€9.45
0%
17.0%€11.50€7.00n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
€9.33
0%
17.3%€11.50€7.00n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
€9.33
0%
17.3%€11.50€7.00n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
€9.48
0%
17.7%€11.50€7.00n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
€9.38
0%
16.2%€11.50€7.00n/a5
May ’25n/a
€9.38
0%
16.2%€11.50€7.00n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
€9.38
0%
16.2%€11.50€7.00n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
€9.38
0%
16.2%€11.50€7.00n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
€9.60
0%
17.3%€11.50€7.00n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
€9.26
0%
15.5%€11.50€7.00n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
€9.26
0%
15.5%€11.50€7.00n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
€9.26
0%
15.5%€11.50€7.00n/a5
Oct ’24n/a
€9.26
0%
15.5%€11.50€7.00n/a5
Sep ’24n/a
€9.66
0%
10.5%€11.50€8.80n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
€9.66
0%
10.5%€11.50€8.80n/a5
Jul ’24n/a
€9.64
0%
14.3%€11.50€7.90n/a5
Jun ’24n/a
€8.55
0%
18.7%€11.00€6.60n/a4
May ’24n/a
€9.20
0%
14.3%€11.00€7.90n/a3
Apr ’24n/a
€10.15
0%
19.7%€13.00€7.90n/a4
Mar ’24n/a
€10.15
0%
19.7%€13.00€7.90n/a4
Feb ’24n/a
€10.15
0%
19.7%€13.00€7.90n/a4
Jan ’24n/a
€10.15
0%
19.7%€13.00€7.90n/a4
Dec ’23n/a
€10.15
0%
19.7%€13.00€7.90n/a4
Nov ’23n/a
€9.90
0%
19.6%€13.00€7.90n/a4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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