Nexstar Media Group, Inc.

DB:NXZ Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.1b

Nexstar Media Group Valuation

Is NXZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NXZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NXZ (€160.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€337.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NXZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NXZ?

Key metric: As NXZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NXZ. This is calculated by dividing NXZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NXZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.1x
EarningsUS$578.00m
Market CapUS$5.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NXZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NXZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
RRTL RTL Group
9.3x-2.6%€3.7b
SAX Ströer SE KGaA
22.6x29.2%€2.6b
G24 Scout24
35.3x14.8%€6.2b
KA8 Klassik Radio
30.7xn/a€17.8m
NXZ Nexstar Media Group
9.1x5.0%€5.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NXZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NXZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NXZ 9.1xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies17PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NXZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the European Media industry average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NXZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NXZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NXZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NXZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€160.20
€187.42
+17.0%
6.9%€207.72€165.24n/a10
Nov ’25€161.15
€182.30
+13.1%
6.3%€199.15€157.47n/a10
Oct ’25€147.55
€177.03
+20.0%
7.2%€201.17€152.00n/a10
Sep ’25€151.75
€177.03
+16.7%
7.2%€201.17€152.00n/a10
Aug ’25€171.35
€186.69
+9.0%
7.6%€207.23€156.57n/a10
Jul ’25€154.20
€187.21
+21.4%
8.4%€209.57€158.34n/a10
Jun ’25€149.95
€185.69
+23.8%
7.9%€206.93€156.35n/a10
May ’25€153.15
€183.97
+20.1%
7.2%€207.68€156.91n/a11
Apr ’25€158.35
€182.91
+15.5%
7.0%€205.56€155.31n/a12
Mar ’25€153.55
€183.38
+19.4%
9.2%€208.17€146.18n/a12
Feb ’25€164.20
€183.71
+11.9%
9.4%€207.27€145.55n/a13
Jan ’25€143.00
€184.48
+29.0%
9.7%€209.03€146.78n/a12
Dec ’24€129.35
€185.36
+43.3%
7.7%€206.19€153.04n/a11
Nov ’24€133.25
€200.00
+50.1%
8.2%€221.89€165.24€161.1511
Oct ’24€132.55
€200.00
+50.9%
8.2%€221.89€165.24€147.5511
Sep ’24€149.55
€194.24
+29.9%
8.5%€215.52€160.49€151.7510
Aug ’24€169.00
€200.45
+18.6%
8.2%€216.48€161.21€171.3510
Jul ’24€155.25
€200.21
+29.0%
8.2%€216.22€161.02€154.2010
Jun ’24€140.50
€199.53
+42.0%
8.4%€217.66€159.37€149.9510
May ’24€157.10
€198.74
+26.5%
8.7%€216.89€158.81€153.1510
Apr ’24€155.60
€202.51
+30.1%
8.5%€220.00€161.09€158.3510
Mar ’24€174.90
€205.68
+17.6%
8.3%€222.28€164.13€153.5510
Feb ’24€187.00
€198.14
+6.0%
8.6%€218.11€161.05€164.2010
Jan ’24€164.20
€205.05
+24.9%
8.7%€224.98€166.13€143.0010
Dec ’23€180.50
€207.65
+15.0%
9.1%€228.89€169.02€129.3510
Nov ’23€173.80
€228.45
+31.4%
5.7%€246.81€195.64€133.2510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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