CTS Eventim KGaA Valuation

Is EVD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EVD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EVD (€82.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€77.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EVD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EVD?

Key metric: As EVD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EVD. This is calculated by dividing EVD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EVD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.7x
Earnings€251.68m
Market Cap€7.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EVD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EVD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19x
EDL Edel SE KGaA
7.9x9.7%€97.9m
G24 Scout24
35.1x14.8%€6.2b
RRTL RTL Group
9.4x-2.6%€3.8b
SAX Ströer SE KGaA
23.7x29.2%€2.7b
EVD CTS Eventim KGaA
31.7x13.5%€8.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the peer average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EVD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EVD 31.7xIndustry Avg. 14.2xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EVD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EVD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.7x
Fair PE Ratio20.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EVD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€82.80
€96.45
+16.5%
8.2%€106.00€78.00n/a11
Nov ’25€97.70
€97.27
-0.4%
8.9%€114.00€80.00n/a11
Oct ’25€91.90
€94.50
+2.8%
7.9%€107.00€80.00n/a10
Sep ’25€84.60
€93.00
+9.9%
9.2%€107.00€78.00n/a11
Aug ’25€80.10
€90.73
+13.3%
10.3%€107.00€74.00n/a11
Jul ’25€78.15
€90.27
+15.5%
10.0%€107.00€74.00n/a11
Jun ’25€79.25
€88.00
+11.0%
10.2%€102.00€74.00n/a11
May ’25€83.65
€86.09
+2.9%
13.8%€102.00€60.00n/a11
Apr ’25€82.65
€78.60
-4.9%
11.8%€95.00€60.00n/a10
Mar ’25€73.45
€76.10
+3.6%
9.5%€90.00€60.00n/a10
Feb ’25€65.25
€73.80
+13.1%
8.7%€85.00€60.00n/a10
Jan ’25€63.20
€74.00
+17.1%
9.5%€85.00€60.00n/a10
Dec ’24€64.20
€73.90
+15.1%
9.3%€85.00€60.00n/a10
Nov ’24€57.20
€72.85
+27.4%
9.9%€85.00€59.00€97.7010
Oct ’24€54.10
€72.00
+33.1%
10.2%€85.00€59.00€91.9010
Sep ’24€57.30
€71.11
+24.1%
11.7%€85.00€59.00€84.609
Aug ’24€61.20
€70.50
+15.2%
12.0%€85.00€59.00€80.108
Jul ’24€57.50
€70.50
+22.6%
12.0%€85.00€59.00€78.158
Jun ’24€64.60
€70.13
+8.6%
12.2%€85.00€59.00€79.258
May ’24€58.75
€68.43
+16.5%
13.5%€84.00€55.00€83.657
Apr ’24€57.30
€68.43
+19.4%
13.5%€84.00€55.00€82.657
Mar ’24€62.40
€67.14
+7.6%
15.9%€84.00€50.00€73.457
Feb ’24€64.50
€64.71
+0.3%
14.9%€80.00€50.00€65.257
Jan ’24€59.70
€64.71
+8.4%
14.9%€80.00€50.00€63.207
Dec ’23€60.00
€64.43
+7.4%
14.5%€80.00€50.00€64.207
Nov ’23€49.02
€63.86
+30.3%
17.1%€80.00€50.00€57.207

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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