The Siam Cement Public Company Limited

DB:TCM1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.4b

Siam Cement Valuation

Is TCM1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TCM1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TCM1 (€5.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TCM1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TCM1?

Key metric: As TCM1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TCM1. This is calculated by dividing TCM1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TCM1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.5x
Earnings฿5.72b
Market Cap฿231.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TCM1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TCM1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
HEI Heidelberg Materials
11.5x7.8%€21.4b
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
11.1x3.5%€730.0m
EVK Evonik Industries
36x33.1%€8.2b
FPE3 Fuchs
19.1x8.7%€5.0b
TCM1 Siam Cement
40.5x55.3%€231.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TCM1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.5x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TCM1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TCM1 40.5xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TCM1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.5x) compared to the European Basic Materials industry average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TCM1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TCM1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.5x
Fair PE Ratio38.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TCM1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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