Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd.

DB:S19 Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.0b

Sumitomo Metal Mining Valuation

Is S19 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of S19 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€4.53
Fair Value
372.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: S19 (€21.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€4.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: S19 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for S19?

Key metric: As S19 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for S19. This is calculated by dividing S19's market cap by their current earnings.
What is S19's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.5x
EarningsJP¥67.25b
Market CapJP¥975.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does S19's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for S19 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
NDA Aurubis
7.4x-5.3%€3.1b
FPE3 Fuchs
17.6x8.6%€4.7b
EVK Evonik Industries
33.2x33.0%€7.6b
WCH Wacker Chemie
25.3x35.4%€3.2b
S19 Sumitomo Metal Mining
14.5x13.7%€975.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: S19 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does S19's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S19 14.5xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: S19 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is S19's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

S19 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.5x
Fair PE Ratio18.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: S19 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst S19 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€21.40
€26.91
+25.8%
10.1%€30.08€22.84n/a8
Jan ’26€21.60
€28.15
+30.3%
12.4%€33.85€23.32n/a8
Dec ’25€22.80
€28.75
+26.1%
8.8%€33.34€24.08n/a8
Nov ’25€24.80
€28.75
+15.9%
8.8%€33.34€24.08n/a8
Oct ’25€27.20
€29.25
+7.5%
9.1%€33.74€24.37n/a8
Sep ’25€25.00
€31.43
+25.7%
17.4%€40.60€20.86n/a8
Aug ’25€27.40
€30.23
+10.3%
12.7%€38.01€25.15n/a8
Jul ’25€27.60
€29.75
+7.8%
14.4%€38.00€24.26n/a8
Jun ’25€29.60
€27.11
-8.4%
14.8%€33.71€23.27n/a8
May ’25€32.40
€27.80
-14.2%
15.2%€34.78€23.80n/a8
Apr ’25€26.80
€25.98
-3.1%
10.7%€30.84€22.82n/a8
Mar ’25€24.00
€26.98
+12.4%
14.6%€35.92€23.22n/a8
Feb ’25€25.00
€27.67
+10.7%
14.1%€36.47€23.58n/a8
Jan ’25€26.60
€29.76
+11.9%
13.6%€37.37€25.13€21.608
Dec ’24€26.20
€28.31
+8.1%
13.5%€35.46€23.84€22.808
Nov ’24€27.00
€29.07
+7.7%
13.4%€36.35€24.44€24.808
Oct ’24€27.80
€30.20
+8.6%
16.4%€37.98€24.69€27.208
Sep ’24€29.80
€29.93
+0.4%
17.4%€37.92€23.19€25.008
Aug ’24€31.00
€31.11
+0.4%
15.8%€38.61€23.61€27.409
Jul ’24€30.00
€30.56
+1.9%
15.7%€38.01€23.25€27.609
Jun ’24€28.20
€34.08
+20.9%
18.5%€44.34€25.06€29.609
May ’24€33.00
€37.89
+14.8%
16.3%€46.34€26.19€32.409
Apr ’24€34.40
€38.32
+11.4%
17.1%€47.34€26.76€26.809
Mar ’24€35.80
€37.30
+4.2%
17.6%€46.49€26.77€24.009
Feb ’24€36.80
€37.80
+2.7%
18.4%€47.97€27.61€25.009
Jan ’24€32.80
€36.88
+12.4%
19.3%€47.48€27.33€26.6010
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
€26.43
Fair Value
19.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 13:10
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. is covered by 25 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Toshiro YoshinagaAizawa Securities Co. Ltd.
Masaki OkunoBarclays
Toshiyuki JohnoBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)