Is Verallia Deutschland AG (FRA:OLG) A Sell At Its Current PE Ratio?

Simply Wall St

Verallia Deutschland AG (DB:OLG) is trading with a trailing P/E of 21.7x, which is higher than the industry average of 16.5x. While OLG might seem like a stock to avoid or sell if you own it, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before you make any investment decisions. Today, I will break down what the P/E ratio is, how to interpret it and what to watch out for. Check out our latest analysis for Verallia Deutschland

Breaking down the Price-Earnings ratio

DB:OLG PE PEG Gauge May 13th 18

A common ratio used for relative valuation is the P/E ratio. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

Formula

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

P/E Calculation for OLG

Price per share = €535

Earnings per share = €24.709

∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = €535 ÷ €24.709 = 21.7x

The P/E ratio itself doesn’t tell you a lot; however, it becomes very insightful when you compare it with other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to OLG, such as capital structure and profitability. A quick method of creating a peer group is to use companies in the same industry, which is what I will do. Since it is expected that similar companies have similar P/E ratios, we can come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios are different.

OLG’s P/E of 21.7x is higher than its industry peers (16.5x), which implies that each dollar of OLG’s earnings is being overvalued by investors. Therefore, according to this analysis, OLG is an over-priced stock.

A few caveats

However, before you rush out to sell your OLG shares, it is important to note that this conclusion is based on two key assumptions. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to OLG. If the companies aren’t similar, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if you are inadvertently comparing riskier firms with OLG, then OLG’s P/E would naturally be higher than its peers since investors would reward its lower risk with a higher price. The other possibility is if you were accidentally comparing lower growth firms with OLG. In this case, OLG’s P/E would be higher since investors would also reward OLG’s higher growth with a higher price. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing OLG to are fairly valued by the market. If this assumption is violated, OLG's P/E may be higher than its peers because its peers are actually undervalued by investors.

DB:OLG Future Profit May 13th 18

What this means for you:

You may have already conducted fundamental analysis on the stock as a shareholder, so its current overvaluation could signal a potential selling opportunity to reduce your exposure to OLG. Now that you understand the ins and outs of the PE metric, you should know to bear in mind its limitations before you make an investment decision. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is OLG’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has OLG been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of OLG's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.