Nissan Chemical Corporation

DB:NSC Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.5b

Nissan Chemical Valuation

Is NSC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NSC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NSC (€32.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€31.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NSC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NSC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NSC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NSC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NSC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
WCH Wacker Chemie
23.3x29.4%€5.0b
FPE3 Fuchs
20.7x8.9%€5.2b
SDF K+S
11.5x-19.5%€2.4b
NDA Aurubis
22.8x32.4%€3.2b
NSC Nissan Chemical
20.9x7.3%€759.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NSC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NSC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NSC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NSC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NSC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio14.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NSC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NSC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€32.60
€40.57
+24.4%
9.3%€46.72€33.54n/a9
Apr ’25€34.80
€41.13
+18.2%
9.2%€47.92€34.40n/a9
Mar ’25€38.20
€40.11
+5.0%
7.5%€46.40€34.46n/a9
Feb ’25€36.60
€39.56
+8.1%
9.4%€46.76€32.87n/a9
Jan ’25€35.00
€40.90
+16.9%
9.3%€48.18€33.87n/a9
Dec ’24€32.80
€41.09
+25.3%
12.6%€50.12€32.79n/a10
Nov ’24€38.40
€44.37
+15.6%
10.8%€51.35€36.77n/a10
Oct ’24€40.20
€44.13
+9.8%
11.1%€51.21€36.67n/a10
Sep ’24€39.20
€43.58
+11.2%
11.2%€51.11€36.60n/a9
Aug ’24€40.80
€44.13
+8.2%
11.3%€52.08€37.29n/a9
Jul ’24€38.60
€43.89
+13.7%
11.0%€52.75€37.77n/a10
Jun ’24€40.20
€44.89
+11.7%
11.5%€54.27€38.86n/a10
May ’24€40.00
€45.81
+14.5%
12.3%€56.03€39.63n/a10
Apr ’24€40.80
€47.31
+16.0%
14.6%€61.80€40.27€34.8010
Mar ’24€40.80
€48.65
+19.2%
14.1%€61.29€39.94€38.2010
Feb ’24€42.00
€50.85
+21.1%
13.7%€62.42€40.68€36.6010
Jan ’24€40.00
€51.35
+28.4%
13.2%€63.32€42.76€35.009
Dec ’23€46.80
€52.38
+11.9%
12.5%€62.11€43.61€32.809
Nov ’23€44.20
€52.84
+19.6%
11.9%€62.19€44.17€38.409
Oct ’23€44.20
€52.18
+18.0%
12.2%€61.42€41.67€40.209
Sep ’23€48.20
€53.23
+10.4%
11.4%€63.11€42.81€39.209
Aug ’23€49.20
€53.07
+7.9%
10.9%€60.66€43.11€40.809
Jul ’23€43.40
€51.09
+17.7%
10.6%€58.60€41.65€38.6010
Jun ’23€51.50
€54.75
+6.3%
8.5%€60.20€46.75€40.2010
May ’23€49.20
€52.36
+6.4%
10.0%€58.28€43.89€40.0010
Apr ’23€52.00
€54.74
+5.3%
10.0%€60.81€45.79€40.8010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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