Nutrien Valuation

Is N7T undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of N7T when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: N7T (€50.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€63.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: N7T is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for N7T?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

N7T key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.1x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does N7T's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for N7T vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.6x
SDF K+S
12x-19.5%€2.5b
SY1 Symrise
41.3x15.6%€14.1b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
8.5x4.3%€17.2b
FPE3 Fuchs
20.5x8.9%€5.2b
N7T Nutrien
20.7x17.3%€36.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: N7T is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the peer average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does N7T's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: N7T is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is N7T's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

N7T PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.7x
Fair PE Ratio22.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: N7T is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst N7T forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€50.24
€55.24
+10.0%
17.3%€69.50€44.74n/a10
Apr ’25€49.30
€55.72
+13.0%
16.5%€69.63€43.82n/a9
Mar ’25€48.20
€57.28
+18.8%
16.7%€72.61€44.38n/a9
Feb ’25€47.15
€60.09
+27.4%
13.4%€72.64€44.40n/a9
Jan ’25€50.90
€60.74
+19.3%
15.7%€80.49€44.00n/a9
Dec ’24€49.10
€60.64
+23.5%
15.8%€80.44€43.98n/a9
Nov ’24€50.70
€64.09
+26.4%
13.4%€83.15€53.81n/a9
Oct ’24€59.80
€65.08
+8.8%
12.5%€83.10€53.92n/a9
Sep ’24€58.30
€64.39
+10.5%
11.4%€80.50€54.91n/a8
Aug ’24€61.40
€64.75
+5.5%
12.8%€82.86€56.08n/a7
Jul ’24€54.40
€70.05
+28.8%
16.0%€92.50€57.51n/a6
Jun ’24€49.25
€72.19
+46.6%
14.3%€93.81€64.78n/a6
May ’24€62.40
€82.17
+31.7%
10.0%€97.38€72.52€50.246
Apr ’24€66.96
€84.70
+26.5%
13.9%€108.40€72.95€49.306
Mar ’24€73.29
€87.60
+19.5%
13.8%€112.07€75.42€48.206
Feb ’24€75.41
€88.58
+17.5%
13.8%€110.23€74.90€47.156
Jan ’24€68.35
€95.04
+39.1%
15.6%€124.19€78.12€50.906
Dec ’23€75.89
€95.04
+25.2%
15.6%€124.19€78.12€49.106
Nov ’23€85.06
€110.24
+29.6%
16.6%€139.96€86.06€50.706
Oct ’23€86.48
€112.90
+30.6%
13.7%€133.95€84.70€59.806
Sep ’23€88.83
€112.90
+27.1%
13.7%€133.95€84.70€58.306
Aug ’23€82.69
€116.96
+41.4%
14.5%€131.98€84.21€61.405
Jul ’23€74.99
€112.86
+50.5%
14.6%€127.78€81.18€54.405
Jun ’23€90.67
€108.23
+19.4%
16.1%€124.40€75.22€49.255
May ’23€96.46
€97.74
+1.3%
21.7%€122.23€69.63€62.404

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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