LSB Industries Valuation

Is LS3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LS3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LS3 (€7.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€14.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LS3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LS3?

Key metric: As LS3 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LS3. This is calculated by dividing LS3's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LS3's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesUS$520.11m
Market CapUS$547.90m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LS3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LS3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
LXS LANXESS
0.3x2.6%€2.0b
ACT AlzChem Group
1x7.2%€580.1m
BAS BASF
0.6x4.4%€38.0b
SIM0 SIMONA
0.6xn/a€345.0m
LS3 LSB Industries
1.1x5.7%€547.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LS3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LS3's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LS3 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies30PS01.22.43.64.86+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LS3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LS3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LS3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LS3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LS3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.25
€10.15
+40.0%
19.3%€14.27€8.56n/a6
Dec ’25€8.25
€9.65
+17.0%
21.1%€13.79€7.36n/a6
Nov ’25€7.35
€9.65
+31.3%
21.1%€13.79€7.36n/a6
Oct ’25€7.20
€8.86
+23.1%
22.8%€13.59€7.25n/a7
Sep ’25€7.05
€9.14
+29.7%
22.3%€13.62€7.26n/a7
Aug ’25€8.45
€9.37
+10.9%
21.7%€13.90€7.41n/a7
Jul ’25€7.25
€9.39
+29.5%
21.9%€13.97€7.45n/a7
Jun ’25€8.90
€9.35
+5.0%
20.3%€13.89€7.41n/a8
May ’25€8.55
€9.05
+5.8%
22.5%€14.05€7.49n/a8
Apr ’25€7.97
€8.84
+10.9%
23.3%€13.91€7.18n/a8
Mar ’25€6.65
€10.70
+60.9%
38.6%€21.28€7.40n/a8
Feb ’25€7.07
€11.11
+57.1%
35.5%€21.29€8.33n/a8
Jan ’25€8.39
€11.57
+38.0%
31.5%€21.09€9.17n/a8
Dec ’24€8.21
€11.57
+41.0%
31.5%€21.09€9.17€8.258
Nov ’24€8.09
€13.55
+67.5%
27.0%€22.92€10.51€7.358
Oct ’24€9.58
€12.94
+35.1%
27.0%€21.90€10.04€7.208
Sep ’24€9.48
€12.94
+36.5%
27.0%€21.90€10.04€7.058
Aug ’24€9.95
€13.03
+31.0%
26.8%€21.85€10.02€8.458
Jul ’24€9.23
€13.17
+42.7%
27.6%€21.99€9.16€7.258
Jun ’24€8.72
€13.35
+53.1%
27.6%€22.10€9.21€8.908
May ’24€7.85
€15.27
+94.5%
24.8%€21.88€9.12€8.558
Apr ’24€9.45
€17.84
+88.7%
14.4%€22.24€14.82€7.978
Mar ’24€12.90
€18.63
+44.4%
13.5%€22.68€15.12€6.657
Feb ’24€11.30
€19.32
+71.0%
14.6%€23.92€16.56€7.077
Jan ’24€12.60
€20.23
+60.6%
10.2%€24.28€18.68€8.396
Dec ’23€13.90
€21.12
+51.9%
10.0%€24.95€19.20€8.217

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 09:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

LSB Industries, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Eric ProutyCanaccord Genuity
David BegleiterDeutsche Bank