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AngloGold Ashanti Valuation
Is AOD1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6
Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of AOD1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: AOD1 (€16.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€39.34)
Significantly Below Fair Value: AOD1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AOD1?
Key metric: As AOD1 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AOD1. This is calculated by dividing AOD1's market cap by their current
revenue.
What is AOD1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio
1.7x
Sales
US$4.53b
Market Cap
US$7.67b
AOD1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AOD1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is AOD1's PS Ratio
compared to its
Fair PS Ratio?
This is the expected PS Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
AOD1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio
1.7x
Fair PS Ratio
0.5x
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AOD1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst AOD1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Dec ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Nov ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Oct ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Sep ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Aug ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Jul ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Jun ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
May ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Apr ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Mar ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Feb ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Jan ’25
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Dec ’24
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Nov ’24
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Oct ’24
n/a
€19.10
0%
17.9%
€24.92
€14.36
n/a
6
Sep ’24
€16.40
€18.81
+14.7%
18.8%
€25.07
€13.90
n/a
6
Aug ’24
€18.40
€19.61
+6.6%
19.8%
€24.76
€14.21
n/a
6
Jul ’24
€19.40
€22.01
+13.5%
19.2%
€24.99
€14.30
n/a
7
Jun ’24
€23.20
€22.25
-4.1%
19.8%
€27.17
€14.37
n/a
7
May ’24
€23.90
€23.22
-2.8%
15.3%
€26.77
€16.78
n/a
8
Apr ’24
€22.10
€20.64
-6.6%
13.3%
€26.14
€16.96
n/a
8
Mar ’24
€16.10
€20.23
+25.6%
12.2%
€23.98
€15.87
n/a
9
Feb ’24
€19.10
€20.85
+9.2%
13.3%
€24.49
€15.44
n/a
9
Jan ’24
€18.10
€18.35
+1.4%
19.7%
€24.97
€11.77
n/a
10
Dec ’23
€17.55
€17.85
+1.7%
15.5%
€20.60
€12.00
n/a
10
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data
Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis
2023/09/26 08:41
End of Day Share Price
2023/09/20 00:00
Earnings
2023/06/30
Annual Earnings
2022/12/31
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
AngloGold Ashanti plc is covered by 29 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.