Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V.

DB:4GE Stock Report

Market Cap: €36.4b

Grupo México. de Valuation

Is 4GE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4GE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4GE (€4.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4GE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4GE?

Key metric: As 4GE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4GE. This is calculated by dividing 4GE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4GE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.4x
EarningsUS$3.60b
Market CapUS$37.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4GE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4GE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.7x
BAS BASF
76.5x31.4%€38.0b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
11.6x8.7%€21.5b
SY1 Symrise
36.5x13.7%€14.3b
EVK Evonik Industries
34x33.0%€7.8b
4GE Grupo México. de
10.4x5.9%€770.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4GE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (39.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4GE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4GE 10.4xIndustry Avg. 11.6xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4GE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (11.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4GE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4GE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ratio19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4GE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4GE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.69
€5.92
+26.3%
21.2%€7.78€2.33n/a16
Dec ’25€4.68
€5.80
+23.9%
21.3%€7.72€2.33n/a16
Nov ’25€4.82
€5.63
+16.9%
21.2%€7.47€2.26n/a16
Oct ’25€5.18
€5.59
+8.1%
22.2%€7.80€2.19n/a16
Sep ’25€4.68
€5.60
+19.7%
22.7%€7.88€2.21n/a16
Aug ’25€5.29
€5.70
+7.7%
23.3%€8.02€2.25n/a16
Jul ’25€5.05
€5.72
+13.2%
22.3%€7.98€2.29n/a15
Jun ’25€5.93
€5.62
-5.3%
21.5%€7.25€2.26n/a15
May ’25€5.97
€5.62
-5.9%
22.0%€7.34€2.28n/a15
Apr ’25€5.60
€5.35
-4.5%
23.4%€7.28€2.26n/a16
Mar ’25€4.60
€5.11
+11.2%
22.8%€7.32€2.27n/a16
Feb ’25€4.99
€4.92
-1.5%
22.0%€7.07€2.26n/a15
Jan ’25€5.00
€4.79
-4.1%
22.0%€6.96€2.22€4.7415
Dec ’24€4.13
€4.72
+14.4%
21.3%€7.04€2.25€4.6816
Nov ’24€3.80
€4.89
+28.6%
23.3%€7.24€2.31€4.8216
Oct ’24€4.55
€5.25
+15.5%
23.0%€7.95€2.31€5.1817
Sep ’24€4.45
€5.00
+12.4%
22.2%€7.73€2.25€4.6818
Aug ’24€4.65
€4.91
+5.5%
22.8%€7.65€2.22€5.2917
Jul ’24€4.51
€4.81
+6.6%
21.3%€7.51€2.24€5.0519
Jun ’24€4.29
€4.77
+11.0%
19.9%€6.92€2.28€5.9319
May ’24€4.41
€4.54
+3.0%
20.1%€6.73€2.22€5.9719
Apr ’24€4.33
€4.37
+0.9%
19.8%€6.80€2.24€5.6018
Mar ’24€4.47
€4.42
-1.1%
19.8%€6.96€2.29€4.6019
Feb ’24€4.16
€4.16
+0.1%
19.6%€6.46€2.22€4.9919
Jan ’24€3.38
€4.11
+21.6%
21.5%€6.68€2.30€5.0019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 15:47
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 28 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Karla Beatriz PenaActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Leonardo CorreaBarclays
Jean BrunyBBVA Corporate and Investment Bank