Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does Salzgitter (ETR:SZG) Use Debt?

XTRA:SZG
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Salzgitter AG (ETR:SZG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Salzgitter

What Is Salzgitter's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Salzgitter had €1.10b of debt, up from €941.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have €621.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €476.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:SZG Debt to Equity History March 24th 2021

How Healthy Is Salzgitter's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Salzgitter had liabilities of €2.08b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €3.48b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €621.4m as well as receivables valued at €1.44b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €3.50b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €1.25b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Salzgitter would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Salzgitter can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Salzgitter made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €7.1b, which is a fall of 17%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Salzgitter's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping €320m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through €356m in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. For riskier companies like Salzgitter I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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