International Paper Company

XTRA:INP Stock Report

Market Cap: €18.8b

International Paper Valuation

Is INP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of INP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: INP (€53.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€85.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: INP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for INP?

Key metric: As INP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for INP. This is calculated by dividing INP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is INP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47.6x
EarningsUS$420.00m
Market CapUS$19.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does INP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for INP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.5x
HEI Heidelberg Materials
11.4x7.3%€21.1b
SY1 Symrise
37x12.6%€14.5b
EVK Evonik Industries
36.4x33.1%€8.3b
BAS BASF
77.5x34.2%€38.5b
INP International Paper
47.6x44.2%€19.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: INP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.6x) compared to the peer average (40.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does INP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INP 47.6xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: INP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.6x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is INP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

INP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.6x
Fair PE Ratio35.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: INP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst INP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€53.60
€53.41
-0.4%
12.2%€62.78€44.71n/a10
Nov ’25€50.64
€48.75
-3.7%
14.2%€60.90€41.53n/a10
Oct ’25€44.15
€44.23
+0.2%
9.4%€50.11€39.37n/a10
Sep ’25€43.24
€45.09
+4.3%
9.9%€51.31€39.30n/a10
Aug ’25€42.81
€44.81
+4.7%
11.1%€51.63€38.19n/a10
Jul ’25€39.95
€42.59
+6.6%
14.2%€53.21€36.03n/a8
Jun ’25€40.87
€41.29
+1.0%
14.4%€52.63€35.64n/a7
May ’25€31.46
€36.50
+16.0%
5.2%€40.22€34.23n/a7
Apr ’25€36.25
€35.26
-2.7%
7.7%€39.72€32.33n/a7
Mar ’25€32.52
€35.04
+7.8%
7.1%€39.87€32.45n/a9
Feb ’25€32.06
€35.92
+12.0%
8.5%€41.92€30.99n/a9
Jan ’25€32.81
€33.62
+2.5%
10.3%€37.31€27.30n/a8
Dec ’24€34.36
€34.23
-0.4%
11.5%€38.37€28.08n/a8
Nov ’24€31.88
€34.49
+8.2%
11.4%€38.74€28.35€50.648
Oct ’24€33.74
€35.34
+4.7%
13.7%€40.93€25.70€44.158
Sep ’24€32.77
€33.25
+1.5%
22.5%€50.24€23.75€43.2410
Aug ’24€32.67
€32.71
+0.1%
22.7%€50.08€23.67€42.8110
Jul ’24€28.82
€32.18
+11.7%
23.2%€50.40€21.99€39.9511
Jun ’24€27.73
€33.92
+22.3%
21.2%€51.27€24.24€40.8711
May ’24€30.35
€34.52
+13.7%
21.4%€49.91€23.60€31.4612
Apr ’24€33.07
€37.64
+13.8%
16.5%€51.06€27.85€36.2512
Mar ’24€34.51
€39.27
+13.8%
14.6%€51.99€30.25€32.5212
Feb ’24€37.31
€34.77
-6.8%
20.8%€50.07€22.76€32.0613
Jan ’24€32.39
€35.58
+9.9%
25.5%€51.76€23.53€32.8113
Dec ’23€35.76
€36.57
+2.3%
25.2%€53.38€24.26€34.3614
Nov ’23€33.74
€37.99
+12.6%
25.4%€55.67€25.31€31.8814

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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