International Paper Company

XTRA:INP Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.0b

International Paper Valuation

Is INP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of INP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: INP (€31.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€67.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: INP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for INP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

INP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.2x
PEG Ratio2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does INP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for INP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
SY1 Symrise
41x15.5%€14.0b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
8.5x4.3%€17.3b
WCH Wacker Chemie
23.3x29.4%€5.0b
FPE3 Fuchs
20.7x8.9%€5.2b
INP International Paper
63.2x30.5%€11.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: INP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.2x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does INP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: INP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.2x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is INP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

INP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio63.2x
Fair PE Ratio26.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: INP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst INP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€31.35
€37.47
+19.5%
5.1%€40.20€34.21n/a7
Apr ’25€36.25
€35.26
-2.7%
7.7%€39.72€32.33n/a7
Mar ’25€32.52
€35.04
+7.8%
7.1%€39.87€32.45n/a9
Feb ’25€32.06
€36.26
+13.1%
8.5%€42.32€31.28n/a9
Jan ’25€32.81
€33.62
+2.5%
10.3%€37.31€27.30n/a8
Dec ’24€34.36
€34.23
-0.4%
11.5%€38.37€28.08n/a8
Nov ’24€31.88
€34.49
+8.2%
11.4%€38.74€28.35n/a8
Oct ’24€33.74
€35.34
+4.7%
13.7%€40.93€25.70n/a8
Sep ’24€32.77
€33.25
+1.5%
22.5%€50.24€23.75n/a10
Aug ’24€32.67
€32.71
+0.1%
22.7%€50.08€23.67n/a10
Jul ’24€28.82
€32.18
+11.7%
23.2%€50.40€21.99n/a11
Jun ’24€27.73
€33.92
+22.3%
21.2%€51.27€24.24n/a11
May ’24€30.35
€34.52
+13.7%
21.4%€49.91€23.60n/a12
Apr ’24€33.07
€37.64
+13.8%
16.5%€51.06€27.85€36.2512
Mar ’24€34.51
€39.27
+13.8%
14.6%€51.99€30.25€32.5212
Feb ’24€37.31
€34.77
-6.8%
20.8%€50.07€22.76€32.0613
Jan ’24€32.39
€35.58
+9.9%
25.5%€51.76€23.53€32.8113
Dec ’23€35.76
€36.49
+2.1%
25.2%€53.27€24.21€34.3614
Nov ’23€33.74
€37.99
+12.6%
25.4%€55.67€25.31€31.8814
Oct ’23€33.26
€45.48
+36.7%
19.0%€61.22€28.06€33.7413
Sep ’23€41.62
€46.73
+12.3%
12.5%€59.46€36.67€32.7713
Aug ’23€41.79
€46.05
+10.2%
12.5%€58.50€36.08€32.6713
Jul ’23€39.88
€48.75
+22.3%
12.2%€57.27€35.32€28.8213
Jun ’23€45.55
€48.38
+6.2%
10.3%€55.90€38.20€27.7313
May ’23€44.97
€49.60
+10.3%
10.6%€56.89€38.88€30.3513
Apr ’23€41.36
€46.77
+13.1%
9.9%€54.61€37.31€33.0713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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