Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With BASF SE's (ETR:BAS) Prospects

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XTRA:BAS

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.6x in the Chemicals industry in Germany, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about BASF SE's (ETR:BAS) P/S ratio, which comes in at about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for BASF

XTRA:BAS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2025

How Has BASF Performed Recently?

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, BASF has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to revert back to industry averages soon, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on BASF will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is BASF's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, BASF would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.8% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 13% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.6% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 3.8% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that BASF's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What Does BASF's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

A BASF's P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Chemicals industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for BASF (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BASF might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.