Citizens Valuation

Is YCX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YCX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YCX (€4.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YCX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YCX?

Key metric: As YCX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YCX. This is calculated by dividing YCX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YCX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsUS$22.03m
Market CapUS$249.53m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YCX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YCX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.7x
WUW Wüstenrot & Württembergische
25.8x34.6%€1.1b
RLV RheinLand Holding
12.5xn/a€115.2m
DFV DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung
22.3xn/a€96.3m
NBG6 NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG
14.1x38.4%€587.5m
YCX Citizens
11.3x-4.5%€249.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YCX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YCX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YCX 11.3xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies12PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YCX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YCX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YCX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio4.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YCX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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