nib holdings Valuation

Is 3GU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3GU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3GU (€3.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3GU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3GU?

Key metric: As 3GU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3GU. This is calculated by dividing 3GU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3GU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.4x
EarningsAU$186.60m
Market CapAU$2.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3GU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3GU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.4x
WUW Wüstenrot & Württembergische
26.4x25.4%€1.1b
NBG6 NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG
13x38.8%€541.4m
BVH Bao Viet Holdings
19.1xn/a₫38.2t
TLX Talanx
11.2x5.0%€21.2b
3GU nib holdings
14.4x6.2%€2.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3GU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3GU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3GU 14.4xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies13PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3GU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3GU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3GU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.4x
Fair PE Ratio8.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3GU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3GU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.22
€4.00
+24.1%
8.0%€4.42€3.29n/a11
Dec ’25€3.42
€4.09
+19.7%
8.0%€4.53€3.38n/a11
Nov ’25€3.42
€4.40
+28.8%
8.8%€5.26€3.90n/a11
Oct ’25€3.50
€4.48
+28.0%
8.2%€5.29€3.92n/a11
Sep ’25€3.68
€4.41
+19.7%
9.8%€5.16€3.80n/a12
Aug ’25€4.36
€4.87
+11.8%
5.5%€5.22€4.43n/a12
Jul ’25€4.32
€5.06
+17.1%
6.0%€5.52€4.52n/a12
Jun ’25€4.40
€5.00
+13.7%
7.1%€5.73€4.50n/a13
May ’25€4.38
€4.98
+13.6%
6.7%€5.65€4.43n/a12
Apr ’25€4.66
€4.96
+6.5%
7.2%€5.60€4.40n/a12
Mar ’25€4.46
€4.88
+9.5%
7.6%€5.57€4.38n/a13
Feb ’25€4.76
€5.02
+5.4%
7.3%€5.74€4.41n/a12
Jan ’25€4.48
€5.04
+12.5%
6.8%€5.81€4.46€3.2412
Dec ’24€4.60
€4.88
+6.0%
6.5%€5.66€4.35€3.4213
Nov ’24€4.30
€5.03
+17.1%
8.1%€5.83€4.38€3.4213
Oct ’24€4.46
€5.02
+12.5%
7.7%€5.76€4.33€3.5013
Sep ’24€4.84
€5.02
+3.7%
7.7%€5.76€4.33€3.6813
Aug ’24€4.88
€5.00
+2.5%
9.3%€5.84€4.21€4.3613
Jul ’24€5.10
€4.83
-5.2%
8.8%€5.63€4.26€4.3213
Jun ’24€5.10
€4.79
-6.1%
8.5%€5.59€4.22€4.4014
May ’24€4.54
€4.62
+1.7%
5.7%€5.14€4.20€4.3813
Apr ’24€4.28
€4.79
+12.0%
5.7%€5.33€4.36€4.6613
Mar ’24€4.72
€4.87
+3.3%
5.7%€5.42€4.43€4.4613
Feb ’24€4.98
€4.97
-0.3%
5.6%€5.42€4.48€4.7613
Jan ’24€4.86
€4.84
-0.4%
5.6%€5.47€4.42€4.4813

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 07:25
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

nib holdings limited is covered by 23 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew AdamsBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
T.S. LimBell Potter
Christiane HolsteinBofA Global Research