Phoenix Group Holdings plc

DB:1BF Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.1b

Phoenix Group Holdings Valuation

Is 1BF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1BF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1BF (€6.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1BF is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1BF?

Key metric: As 1BF is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1BF. This is calculated by dividing 1BF's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1BF's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUK£25.21b
Market CapUK£5.00b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1BF's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1BF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
WUW Wüstenrot & Württembergische
0.2xn/a€1.1b
TLX Talanx
0.4x7.9%€20.9b
HNR1 Hannover Rück
1.1x2.5%€29.8b
MUV2 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft in München
1.1x8.0%€66.2b
1BF Phoenix Group Holdings
0.2x-27.6%€5.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1BF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1BF's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1BF 0.2xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies16PS00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1BF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1BF's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1BF PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1BF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1BF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.20
€7.17
+15.8%
12.1%€8.97€6.03n/a14
Dec ’25€6.21
€7.16
+15.3%
11.9%€8.95€6.14n/a14
Nov ’25€5.94
€7.12
+19.8%
11.8%€8.90€6.11n/a14
Oct ’25€6.67
€7.11
+6.7%
10.9%€8.82€6.06n/a14
Sep ’25€6.67
€7.07
+6.0%
11.5%€8.68€5.84n/a13
Aug ’25€6.44
€7.12
+10.6%
11.6%€8.82€5.94n/a14
Jul ’25€6.23
€7.09
+13.7%
12.0%€8.75€5.89n/a14
Jun ’25€6.00
€7.02
+17.0%
11.5%€8.64€5.81n/a14
May ’25€5.76
€6.98
+21.1%
11.3%€8.62€5.80n/a14
Apr ’25€6.45
€7.05
+9.3%
13.6%€8.67€5.19n/a14
Mar ’25€6.00
€7.00
+16.6%
13.9%€8.69€5.21n/a14
Feb ’25€5.90
€7.01
+18.9%
14.2%€8.71€5.10n/a14
Jan ’25€6.15
€6.78
+10.3%
14.9%€8.67€4.84n/a13
Dec ’24€5.55
€6.76
+21.7%
15.2%€8.60€4.63€6.2113
Nov ’24€5.20
€6.94
+33.4%
13.8%€8.53€4.94€5.9413
Oct ’24€5.50
€7.52
+36.7%
12.0%€8.71€5.77€6.6714
Sep ’24€6.10
€7.83
+28.4%
9.9%€9.02€6.56€6.6714
Aug ’24€6.55
€8.07
+23.3%
8.6%€9.34€6.77€6.4414
Jul ’24€6.20
€8.25
+33.0%
8.5%€9.69€7.32€6.2315
Jun ’24€6.45
€8.21
+27.4%
9.1%€9.56€7.22€6.0015
May ’24€6.55
€8.16
+24.5%
8.7%€9.45€7.14€5.7615
Apr ’24€6.35
€8.09
+27.5%
9.0%€9.45€7.14€6.4516
Mar ’24€7.15
€8.24
+15.3%
9.6%€9.75€7.20€6.0016
Feb ’24€7.35
€8.27
+12.5%
9.7%€9.75€7.20€5.9016
Jan ’24€6.90
€8.32
+20.6%
9.5%€9.86€7.28€6.1517
Dec ’23€7.00
€8.50
+21.4%
9.5%€9.74€7.13€5.5516

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 05:37
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Phoenix Group Holdings plc is covered by 27 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew BroadfieldBarclays
Larissa van DeventerBarclays
Trevor MossBerenberg