Talanx Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:TLX): Can Growth Justify Its February Share Price?

Want to participate in a short research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and receive a $20 prize!

Talanx Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:TLX) is a stock well-positioned for future growth, but many investors are wondering whether its last closing price of €33.26 is based on unrealistic expectations. Let’s look into this by assessing TLX’s expected growth over the next few years.

Check out our latest analysis for Talanx

Has the TLX train has slowed down?

According to the analysts covering the company, the following few years should bring about good growth prospects for Talanx. The consensus forecast from 11 analysts is buoyant with earnings forecasted to rise significantly from today’s level of €2.84 to €4.265 over the next three years. This indicates an estimated earnings growth rate of 14% per year, on average, which signals a market-beating outlook in the upcoming years.

Is TLX’s share price justified by its earnings growth?

Talanx is available at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.71x, showing us it is undervalued relative to the current DE market average of 18.19x , and overvalued based on current earnings compared to the Insurance industry average of 11.46x .

XTRA:TLX Price Estimation Relative to Market, February 20th 2019
XTRA:TLX Price Estimation Relative to Market, February 20th 2019

After looking at TLX’s value based on current earnings, we can see it seems overvalued relative to other companies in the industry. However, seeing as Talanx is perceived as a high-growth stock, we must also account for its earnings growth, which is captured in the PEG ratio. A PE ratio of 11.71x and expected year-on-year earnings growth of 14% give Talanx a low PEG ratio of 0.86x. This means that, when we account for Talanx’s growth, the stock can be viewed as fairly valued , based on the fundamentals.

What this means for you:

TLX’s current undervaluation could signal a potential buying opportunity to increase your exposure to the stock, or it you’re a potential investor, now may be the right time to buy. However, basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PEG ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Are TLX’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has TLX been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of TLX’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.