Humble Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Humble Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 65.1% and 11.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 64.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.4% in 3 years.

Key information

65.1%

Earnings growth rate

64.8%

EPS growth rate

Personal Products earnings growth	8.0%
Revenue growth rate	11.8%
Future return on equity	9.4%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	15 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:B39 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (SEK Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	9,873	410	559	714	2
12/31/2025	8,735	287	532	629	2
12/31/2024	7,763	137	371	401	2
9/30/2024	7,650	71	284	439	N/A
6/30/2024	7,497	-47	309	472	N/A
3/31/2024	7,365	-80	818	965	N/A
12/31/2023	7,143	-106	927	1,088	N/A
9/30/2023	6,806	-113	870	1,050	N/A
6/30/2023	6,344	39	707	859	N/A
3/31/2023	5,607	-9	276	429	N/A
12/31/2022	4,885	-36	108	255	N/A
9/30/2022	4,119	-30	-223	-107	N/A
6/30/2022	3,156	-212	-189	-83	N/A
3/31/2022	2,330	-228	-191	-112	N/A
12/31/2021	1,532	-211	-208	-152	N/A
9/30/2021	686	-228	-196	-47	N/A
6/30/2021	288	-118	-211	-47	N/A
3/31/2021	126	-59	-195	-34	N/A
12/31/2020	33	-38	-26	-19	N/A
9/30/2020	21	-27	-31	-8	N/A
6/30/2020	14	-21	-20	-18	N/A
3/31/2020	9	-18	-19	-18	N/A
12/31/2019	9	-16	-13	-11	N/A
9/30/2019	7	-12	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2019	6	-9	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2019	6	-10	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	5	-10	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2018	4	-14	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2018	4	-13	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2018	3	-11	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	3	-10	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2017	3	-7	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2017	3	-8	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2017	3	-8	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2016	2	-7	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2016	3	-6	N/A	-7	N/A
6/30/2016	3	-5	N/A	-5	N/A
3/31/2016	3	-5	N/A	-4	N/A
12/31/2015	3	-5	N/A	-5	N/A
9/30/2015	2	-5	N/A	-7	N/A
6/30/2015	2	-5	N/A	-6	N/A
3/31/2015	2	-5	N/A	-4	N/A
12/31/2014	2	-4	N/A	-5	N/A
9/30/2014	2	-3	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2014	2	-2	N/A	-2	N/A
3/31/2014	2	-2	N/A	-3	N/A
12/31/2013	2	-2	N/A	-2	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: B39's forecast earnings growth (65.1% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: B39's earnings (65.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: B39's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: B39's revenue (11.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: B39's revenue (11.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: B39's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.4%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/23 07:47
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

Humble Group AB (publ) is covered by 5 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Fredrik Ivarsson	ABG Sundal Collier Sponsored
Anna Danfors	ABG Sundal Collier Sponsored
null null	ABG Sundal Collier Sponsored

Humble Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2024

Forecast to breakeven in 2023

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2023

Forecast to breakeven in 2025

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Recent updates

Chief Executive Officer recently bought €78k worth of stock

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: kr0.06 (vs kr0.20 loss in 3Q 2023)

Humble Group AB (publ) to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024

Chief Executive Officer recently bought €51k worth of stock

Second quarter 2024 earnings released

Humble Group AB (publ), Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: kr0.05 (vs kr0.01 loss in 1Q 2023)

Full year 2023 earnings released: kr0.28 loss per share (vs kr0.13 loss in FY 2022)

Insider recently bought €70k worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings released: kr0.28 loss per share (vs kr0.13 loss in FY 2022)

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2024

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: kr0.20 loss per share (vs kr0.90 loss in 3Q 2022)

Now 25% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

Second quarter 2023 earnings released

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

New major risk - Share price stability

Forecast to breakeven in 2023

Chief Analytics Officer recently bought €12k worth of stock

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2023

Full year 2022 earnings released: kr0.26 loss per share (vs kr1.39 loss in FY 2021)

VP & COO recently bought €79k worth of stock

Forecast to breakeven in 2025

VP & COO recently bought €75k worth of stock

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: kr0.89 loss per share (vs kr0.63 loss in 3Q 2021)

Humble Group AB (publ) to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 22, 2023

Less than half of directors are independent

Humble Group AB (publ) to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 23, 2022

Second quarter 2022 earnings released

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) acquired Privab Nässjö and Privab Stockholm from Privab Grossisterna Ab.

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) signed a binding agreement to acquire LEV Group from the owners of LEV Group for approximately SEK 160 million.

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) signed a binding agreement to acquire LEV Group from the owners of LEV Group for approximately SEK 160 million.

First quarter 2022 earnings released: kr0.82 loss per share (vs kr0.086 loss in 1Q 2021)

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) acquired Go Superfoods Ltd.

Less than half of directors are independent

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) acquired La Praline Scandinavia/Grenna Konfektyr/Arne & Björn.

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) signed a binding agreement to acquire Go Superfoods Ltd for SEK 208 million.

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Insider recently bought €62k worth of stock

Deputy CEO & Member of Management Board recently bought €292k worth of stock

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) acquired Bio Pak Nutracevtika, d.o.o. for SEK 61.6 million.

Deputy CEO & Member of Management Board recently bought €97k worth of stock

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) agreed to acquire True. ApS for approximately SEK 340 million.

Third quarter 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) signed a binding agreement to acquire Delsbo Candle Ab for approximately SEK 58.9 million.

Board Member recently bought €210k worth of stock

Humble Group AB (publ) (OM:HUMBLE) signed a binding agreement to acquire Swedish Food Group AB from owners for approximately SEK 440 million.

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: kr0.36 loss per share (vs kr0.076 loss in 2Q 2020)

Board Member recently bought €394k worth of stock

First quarter 2021 earnings released: kr0.09 loss per share (vs kr0.057 loss in 1Q 2020)

Bayn Group AB (publ) (OM:BAYN) completed the acquisition of The Humble Co. AB from Noel Abdayem, Verdane and others.

Bayn Group AB (publ) (OM:BAYN) entered into an agreement to acquire The Humble Co. AB from Noel Abdayem, Verdane and others for approximately SEK 810 million.

New 90-day high: €1.68

New 90-day high: €1.67

New 90-day high: €0.99

Bayn Group AB (publ) (OM:BAYN) agreed to acquire Green Sales Distributions Ab SEK 74.5 million.

Bayn Group AB (publ) (OM:BAYN) completed the acquisition of Koppers Candy Sweden AB.

Bayn Group AB (publ) (OM:BAYN) entered into a binding agreement to acquire 51% stake in KLEMENT SP. Z O. O. from Mariusz Klementowski for SEK 41.1 million.