Stock Analysis

Siemens Healthineers (ETR:SHL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

XTRA:SHL
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Siemens Healthineers AG (ETR:SHL) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Siemens Healthineers

What Is Siemens Healthineers's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Siemens Healthineers had €16.0b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have €1.47b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €14.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:SHL Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024

How Healthy Is Siemens Healthineers' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Siemens Healthineers had liabilities of €12.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €15.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.47b and €6.67b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €19.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Siemens Healthineers has a very large market capitalization of €63.3b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Siemens Healthineers has net debt to EBITDA of 4.5 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. On the plus side, its EBIT was 8.5 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 4.5. Unfortunately, Siemens Healthineers's EBIT flopped 20% over the last four quarters. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Siemens Healthineers's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Siemens Healthineers produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 63% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Siemens Healthineers's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is relatively strong. It's also worth noting that Siemens Healthineers is in the Medical Equipment industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Siemens Healthineers is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Siemens Healthineers .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Siemens Healthineers is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.