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Maternus-Kliniken Aktiengesellschaft's (ETR:MAK) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
It's not a stretch to say that Maternus-Kliniken Aktiengesellschaft's (ETR:MAK) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Healthcare industry in Germany, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for Maternus-Kliniken
How Has Maternus-Kliniken Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Maternus-Kliniken, which is generally not a bad outcome. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. Those who are bullish on Maternus-Kliniken will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Maternus-Kliniken will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Maternus-Kliniken would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.1% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 6.0% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 0.4% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Maternus-Kliniken's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Maternus-Kliniken's P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We find it unexpected that Maternus-Kliniken trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Maternus-Kliniken has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:MAK
Maternus-Kliniken
Operates retirement and nursing homes, rehabilitation clinics, and various service companies that operate in the field of geriatric care and rehabilitation medicine.
Good value low.