Stock Analysis

Potential Upside For HAEMATO AG (ETR:HAEK) Not Without Risk

XTRA:HAEK
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There wouldn't be many who think HAEMATO AG's (ETR:HAEK) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Healthcare industry in Germany is very similar. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for HAEMATO

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:HAEK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2024

What Does HAEMATO's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for HAEMATO as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think HAEMATO's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, HAEMATO would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by 19% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth will be highly resilient over the next year growing by 5.6%. With the rest of the industry predicted to shrink by 22%, that would be a fantastic result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that HAEMATO's P/S trades in-line with its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the contrarian forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does HAEMATO's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that HAEMATO currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its growth forecasts are potentially beating a struggling industry. Given the glowing revenue forecasts, we can only assume potential risks are what might be capping the P/S ratio at its current levels. One such risk is that the company may not live up to analysts' revenue trajectories in tough industry conditions. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for HAEMATO that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HAEMATO is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.