Stock Analysis

CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA (ETR:COP) sheds €72m, company earnings and investor returns have been trending downwards for past five years

Published
XTRA:COP

Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But that doesn't mean long term investors can avoid big losses. Zooming in on an example, the CompuGroup Medical SE & Co. KGaA (ETR:COP) share price dropped 66% in the last half decade. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 47% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 17% in the last 90 days.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

See our latest analysis for CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the five years over which the share price declined, CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 13% each year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 19% per year, over the period. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

XTRA:COP Earnings Per Share Growth June 29th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA, it has a TSR of -64% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 5.2% in the last year, CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA shareholders lost 45% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course CompuGroup Medical SE KGaA may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on German exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.