Oatly Group AB

MUN:9ZX0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €246.5m

Oatly Group Valuation

Is 9ZX0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9ZX0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 9ZX0's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 9ZX0's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9ZX0?

Key metric: As 9ZX0 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 9ZX0. This is calculated by dividing 9ZX0's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 9ZX0's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$823.67m
Market CapUS$257.59m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 9ZX0's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 9ZX0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
NLM FRoSTA
0.9xn/a€555.2m
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
1.6xn/a€551.6m
SMB Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz
0.3xn/a€59.7m
SZU Südzucker
0.2x-1.3%€2.2b
9ZX0 Oatly Group
0.3x4.8%€257.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 9ZX0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 9ZX0's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

32 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9ZX0 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies44PS00.81.62.43.24+
32 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 9ZX0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Food industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9ZX0's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9ZX0 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 9ZX0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9ZX0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.85
€29.88
+237.6%
34.3%€47.01€19.19n/a7
Feb ’26€12.00
€31.17
+159.7%
36.3%€51.02€16.37n/a8
Jan ’26€12.28
€31.35
+155.3%
35.3%€50.93€16.34n/a8
Dec ’25€14.12
€35.50
+151.4%
52.1%€75.09€15.96n/a8
Nov ’25€15.04
€36.25
+141.0%
47.0%€73.75€19.36n/a8
Oct ’25€15.80
€36.25
+129.5%
47.0%€73.75€19.36n/a8
Sep ’25€16.44
€36.25
+120.5%
47.0%€73.75€19.36n/a8
Aug ’25€18.08
€36.25
+100.5%
47.0%€73.75€19.36n/a8
Jul ’25€18.00
€37.01
+105.6%
47.4%€74.82€19.64n/a8
Jun ’25€19.60
€37.01
+88.8%
47.4%€74.82€19.64n/a8
May ’25€18.92
€37.01
+95.6%
47.4%€74.82€19.64n/a8
Apr ’25€19.80
€36.43
+84.0%
48.3%€74.02€19.43n/a8
Mar ’25€22.40
€36.43
+62.6%
48.3%€74.02€19.43n/a8
Feb ’25€21.30
€37.75
+77.2%
58.1%€73.48€11.57€12.006
Jan ’25n/a
€37.75
0%
58.1%€73.48€11.57€12.286
Dec ’24€19.20
€37.75
+96.6%
58.1%€73.48€11.57€14.126
Nov ’24€9.26
€52.23
+464.1%
49.9%€94.97€14.25€15.047
Oct ’24€16.44
€64.44
+292.0%
51.4%€132.19€26.44€15.808
Sep ’24€23.00
€60.55
+163.2%
52.4%€129.96€25.99€16.449
Aug ’24€28.00
€57.93
+106.9%
57.5%€127.32€25.46€18.0810
Jul ’24€37.60
€82.82
+120.3%
42.8%€127.97€31.08€18.0010
Jun ’24€29.60
€84.27
+184.7%
40.5%€129.00€31.33€19.6011
May ’24€42.40
€87.30
+105.9%
33.4%€128.38€45.85€18.9210
Apr ’24n/a
€86.33
0%
34.0%€130.59€46.64€19.8011
Mar ’24€41.30
€80.01
+93.7%
39.9%€129.74€37.07€22.4012
Feb ’24€46.70
€80.01
+71.3%
39.9%€129.74€37.07€21.3012
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
€31.94
Fair Value
72.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/21 06:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/19 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Oatly Group AB is covered by 22 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Edward LewisAtlantic Equities LLP
Andrew LazarBarclays
Max Andrew GumportBNP Paribas Exane