FRoSTA Aktiengesellschaft

DB:NLM Stock Report

Market Cap: €408.8m

FRoSTA Valuation

Is NLM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NLM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NLM (€61) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1533.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NLM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NLM?

Key metric: As NLM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NLM. This is calculated by dividing NLM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NLM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.2x
Earnings€34.06m
Market Cap€408.76m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NLM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NLM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.6x
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
15.7xn/a€588.4m
SZU Südzucker
6.7x-10.2%€2.3b
SMB Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz
6.2xn/a€62.3m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
9.8x-1.0%€2.0b
NLM FRoSTA
12.2xn/a€408.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NLM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (9.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NLM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NLM 12.2xIndustry Avg. 13.3xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NLM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NLM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NLM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NLM's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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