Yakult HonshaLtd Valuation

Is YKH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YKH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YKH (€17.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€15.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YKH is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YKH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

YKH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.8x
PEG Ratio8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YKH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YKH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.3x
SZU Südzucker
4.2x-45.2%€2.7b
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
20.1xn/a€651.5m
NLM FRoSTA
13xn/a€442.8m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
16x15.5%€1.6b
YKH Yakult HonshaLtd
19.6x2.5%€936.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YKH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YKH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YKH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YKH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YKH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YKH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YKH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.80
€21.43
+20.4%
16.6%€30.97€17.61n/a10
Apr ’25€18.40
€22.28
+21.1%
17.4%€31.23€17.76n/a10
Mar ’25€19.10
€22.79
+19.3%
15.8%€31.67€19.56n/a11
Feb ’25€19.90
€23.89
+20.1%
22.3%€37.35€19.92n/a11
Jan ’25€19.70
€24.83
+26.0%
22.4%€38.27€20.41n/a11
Dec ’24€19.90
€24.72
+24.2%
19.1%€36.84€19.65n/a12
Nov ’24€22.00
€29.79
+35.4%
19.6%€42.62€24.17n/a13
Oct ’24€22.60
€30.01
+32.8%
19.7%€42.41€24.05n/a12
Sep ’24€23.50
€30.62
+30.3%
18.8%€42.37€24.03n/a13
Aug ’24€24.60
€32.11
+30.5%
15.0%€42.86€24.77n/a13
Jul ’24€28.25
€34.31
+21.5%
13.7%€43.50€29.00n/a13
Jun ’24€29.75
€35.38
+18.9%
12.5%€44.05€30.04n/a13
May ’24€33.50
€35.25
+5.2%
11.8%€44.42€30.18n/a13
Apr ’24€32.50
€35.36
+8.8%
9.7%€41.79€31.44€18.4012
Mar ’24€31.50
€35.42
+12.4%
9.4%€41.10€30.92€19.1013
Feb ’24€31.75
€34.98
+10.2%
10.5%€41.82€27.22€19.9013
Jan ’24€29.50
€33.35
+13.1%
14.0%€42.28€25.73€19.7014
Dec ’23€30.00
€32.03
+6.8%
11.8%€38.79€25.27€19.9014
Nov ’23€27.25
€29.89
+9.7%
12.4%€37.74€24.59€22.0014
Oct ’23€29.00
€30.44
+4.9%
12.6%€38.55€25.12€22.6014
Sep ’23€28.50
€30.01
+5.3%
16.8%€39.76€21.59€23.5013
Aug ’23€30.75
€28.75
-6.5%
13.4%€35.92€22.22€24.6013
Jul ’23€27.25
€26.58
-2.5%
10.9%€31.63€21.52€28.2512
Jun ’23€25.25
€25.64
+1.6%
10.4%€30.16€22.07€29.7512
May ’23€23.90
€24.25
+1.5%
9.3%€28.05€21.58€33.5011
Apr ’23€25.00
€25.12
+0.5%
9.4%€29.62€22.78€32.5011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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