Treasury Wine Estates Limited

DB:T7W Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.6b

Treasury Wine Estates Valuation

Is T7W undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of T7W when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: T7W (€6.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: T7W is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for T7W?

Key metric: As T7W is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for T7W. This is calculated by dividing T7W's market cap by their current earnings.
What is T7W's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio94.7x
EarningsAU$98.90m
Market CapAU$9.36b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does T7W's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for T7W vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.4x
SWA Schloss Wachenheim
15.4x17.7%€113.3m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
9.6x1.7%€1.9b
SZU Südzucker
6.3x-10.2%€2.1b
EMI Emperador
42.4x25.2%₱284.2b
T7W Treasury Wine Estates
94.7x26.8%€9.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: T7W is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.7x) compared to the peer average (18.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does T7W's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
T7W 94.7xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: T7W is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.7x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is T7W's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

T7W PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio94.7x
Fair PE Ratio28.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: T7W is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst T7W forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.78
€8.53
+25.8%
9.0%€9.93€6.92n/a14
Dec ’25€6.92
€8.69
+25.5%
9.0%€10.12€7.05n/a14
Nov ’25€6.66
€8.62
+29.3%
10.0%€10.16€7.08n/a15
Oct ’25€7.19
€8.43
+17.2%
10.0%€9.93€6.92n/a15
Sep ’25€6.96
€8.49
+22.0%
10.0%€10.01€6.97n/a15
Aug ’25€7.39
€8.50
+15.0%
9.7%€9.66€6.94n/a15
Jul ’25€7.46
€8.75
+17.3%
9.9%€9.94€7.14n/a15
Jun ’25€6.88
€8.51
+23.8%
11.4%€10.16€6.77n/a15
May ’25€7.32
€8.36
+14.3%
12.4%€10.30€6.67n/a15
Apr ’25€7.45
€8.08
+8.5%
13.3%€10.27€6.04n/a15
Mar ’25€7.40
€7.96
+7.6%
10.1%€9.25€6.06n/a14
Feb ’25€6.45
€7.91
+22.6%
10.6%€8.95€5.77n/a14
Jan ’25€6.50
€8.04
+23.7%
11.5%€9.50€5.84n/a13
Dec ’24€6.40
€7.77
+21.4%
11.8%€9.37€5.67€6.9214
Nov ’24€7.20
€7.88
+9.4%
11.6%€9.59€5.75€6.6614
Oct ’24€7.35
€7.68
+4.4%
12.1%€9.27€5.89€7.1915
Sep ’24€6.80
€7.68
+12.9%
12.1%€9.27€5.89€6.9615
Aug ’24€6.75
€7.90
+17.0%
12.7%€9.62€6.03€7.3916
Jul ’24€6.70
€8.11
+21.0%
11.4%€9.69€6.08€7.4616
Jun ’24€6.95
€8.11
+16.6%
11.4%€9.69€6.08€6.8816
May ’24€8.25
€8.78
+6.4%
12.3%€10.61€6.13€7.3215
Apr ’24€7.93
€8.83
+11.4%
10.4%€9.67€6.28€7.4515
Mar ’24€8.61
€8.97
+4.3%
10.7%€9.91€6.43€7.4016
Feb ’24€9.25
€9.13
-1.4%
11.5%€10.39€6.49€6.4516
Jan ’24€8.46
€8.75
+3.5%
10.7%€10.09€6.62€6.5016
Dec ’23€8.80
€8.90
+1.1%
10.7%€10.32€6.77€6.4017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 10:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Treasury Wine Estates Limited is covered by 26 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Thomas KierathBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
David ErringtonBofA Global Research