Molson Coors Beverage Company

DB:NY7 Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.5b

Molson Coors Beverage Valuation

Is NY7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NY7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NY7 (€56.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€179.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NY7 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NY7?

Key metric: As NY7 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NY7. This is calculated by dividing NY7's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NY7's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.8x
EarningsUS$937.90m
Market CapUS$12.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NY7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NY7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
KUL Kulmbacher Brauerei Aktien-Gesellschaft
23.7xn/a€140.4m
168 Tsingtao Brewery
16.2x7.2%HK$96.7b
291 China Resources Beer (Holdings)
14.7x10.0%HK$83.4b
CARL B Carlsberg
13.3x12.2%DKK 95.2b
NY7 Molson Coors Beverage
12.8x3.8%€12.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NY7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the peer average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NY7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NY7 12.8xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NY7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NY7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NY7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.8x
Fair PE Ratio19.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NY7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NY7 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€56.74
€60.18
+6.1%
11.9%€71.46€44.78n/a22
Dec ’25€57.62
€58.74
+1.9%
11.8%€71.46€44.78n/a21
Nov ’25€49.76
€55.75
+12.0%
11.4%€69.47€43.54n/a20
Oct ’25€51.24
€53.93
+5.2%
11.7%€67.36€42.21n/a20
Sep ’25€47.73
€53.78
+12.7%
12.1%€67.06€42.02n/a20
Aug ’25€48.51
€55.57
+14.6%
13.6%€69.14€43.33n/a21
Jul ’25€46.82
€59.63
+27.4%
10.2%€69.86€49.36n/a22
Jun ’25€48.29
€59.68
+23.6%
9.8%€69.14€48.86n/a22
May ’25€59.02
€60.96
+3.3%
9.2%€70.15€49.57n/a22
Apr ’25€61.84
€62.48
+1.0%
6.1%€70.92€53.42n/a22
Mar ’25€57.80
€62.63
+8.4%
6.2%€71.16€53.60n/a21
Feb ’25€56.94
€62.50
+9.8%
7.0%€71.26€53.68n/a21
Jan ’25€55.02
€61.46
+11.7%
7.3%€70.53€53.13n/a21
Dec ’24€56.12
€61.16
+9.0%
7.0%€70.18€52.86€57.6222
Nov ’24€54.84
€63.65
+16.1%
7.8%€72.70€53.81€49.7620
Oct ’24€58.94
€65.54
+11.2%
6.2%€72.86€53.93€51.2420
Sep ’24€58.32
€63.49
+8.9%
7.8%€71.18€49.92€47.7321
Aug ’24€63.26
€62.96
-0.5%
7.9%€68.39€49.24€48.5120
Jul ’24€59.84
€60.88
+1.7%
9.5%€69.01€49.69€46.8218
Jun ’24€57.36
€58.16
+1.4%
11.4%€68.69€45.80€48.2918
May ’24€53.48
€51.11
-4.4%
9.7%€61.63€42.60€59.0218
Apr ’24€47.13
€51.38
+9.0%
10.5%€63.43€43.84€61.8419
Mar ’24€49.07
€52.01
+6.0%
10.1%€64.10€45.25€57.8020
Feb ’24€47.91
€49.71
+3.8%
11.9%€62.81€40.96€56.9419
Jan ’24€48.03
€50.81
+5.8%
10.0%€62.71€43.06€55.0219
Dec ’23€52.31
€52.64
+0.6%
9.7%€64.84€44.52€56.1219

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 12:23
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Molson Coors Beverage Company is covered by 47 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Erin SmithArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Michael BrancaBarclays