Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc.

DB:CCW Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.4b

Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Valuation

Is CCW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CCW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CCW (€12.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€21.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CCW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CCW?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CCW key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.2x
PEG Ratio6.3x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CCW's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CCW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
MUT Mineralbrunnen Überkingen-Teinach GmbH KGaA
0.8xn/a€102.3m
SZU Südzucker
0.3x-1.1%€2.7b
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
0.9x3.3%€1.6b
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
1.9xn/a€651.5m
CCW Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings
0.5x1.5%€393.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CCW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CCW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CCW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CCW's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CCW PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CCW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CCW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.70
€14.56
+14.6%
11.8%€17.50€12.07n/a8
Apr ’25€13.30
€14.26
+7.2%
14.0%€17.70€11.29n/a7
Mar ’25€11.80
€12.78
+8.3%
16.5%€16.68€9.89n/a8
Feb ’25€12.50
€12.69
+1.5%
15.7%€16.86€9.99n/a8
Jan ’25€12.60
€12.66
+0.5%
18.2%€17.31€9.61n/a8
Dec ’24€12.50
€11.23
-10.1%
15.1%€14.01€7.92n/a9
Nov ’24€12.30
€11.20
-9.0%
12.3%€12.61€8.20n/a9
Oct ’24€12.10
€10.67
-11.8%
13.3%€12.03€7.60n/a8
Sep ’24€11.90
€10.07
-15.4%
14.6%€11.89€7.51n/a9
Aug ’24€10.10
€9.36
-7.3%
8.0%€10.30€7.72n/a9
Jul ’24€9.40
€9.70
+3.2%
8.0%€10.67€8.00n/a9
Jun ’24€10.30
€9.70
-5.8%
8.0%€10.67€8.00n/a9
May ’24€9.55
€9.74
+2.0%
7.3%€10.83€8.13n/a9
Apr ’24€9.65
€9.94
+3.1%
7.3%€11.06€8.30€13.309
Mar ’24€9.65
€10.10
+4.6%
7.4%€11.18€8.39€11.8010
Feb ’24€9.20
€10.32
+12.2%
7.5%€11.31€8.48€12.5010
Jan ’24€9.95
€10.23
+2.8%
4.9%€10.91€9.54€12.6010
Dec ’23€9.85
€10.23
+3.8%
4.9%€10.91€9.54€12.5010
Nov ’23€8.95
€10.78
+20.4%
4.9%€11.50€10.06€12.3010
Oct ’23€9.55
€10.78
+12.9%
4.9%€11.50€10.06€12.1010
Sep ’23€9.85
€11.26
+14.3%
6.6%€12.55€10.34€11.9010
Aug ’23€10.90
€11.27
+3.4%
7.9%€13.21€10.28€10.1010
Jul ’23€11.30
€10.79
-4.5%
7.9%€12.76€9.92€9.409
Jun ’23€10.50
€11.21
+6.8%
13.2%€14.26€8.25€10.309
May ’23€10.30
€11.21
+8.9%
13.2%€14.26€8.25€9.559
Apr ’23€10.30
€11.21
+8.9%
13.2%€14.26€8.25€9.659

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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