Constellation Brands Valuation
Is CB1A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CB1A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CB1A (€235.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€443.58)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CB1A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CB1A?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is CB1A's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$46.46b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 5.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 16.4x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CB1A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 18.6x | ||
SWA Schloss Wachenheim | 10.8x | 7.3% | €122.0m |
RI Pernod Ricard | 17.4x | 6.9% | €35.5b |
600809 Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd | 26.9x | 14.4% | CN¥320.0b |
000568 Luzhou LaojiaoLtd | 19.4x | 14.0% | CN¥273.9b |
CB1A Constellation Brands | 26.9x | 11.2% | €46.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CB1A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CB1A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CB1A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CB1A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 26.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 33.5x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CB1A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | €235.40 | €280.02 +19.0% | 4.9% | €307.63 | €246.10 | n/a | 24 |
| Apr ’25 | €249.60 | €270.18 +8.2% | 5.6% | €299.36 | €230.28 | n/a | 25 |
| Mar ’25 | €229.50 | €268.22 +16.9% | 5.7% | €298.32 | €229.48 | n/a | 24 |
| Feb ’25 | €226.70 | €268.22 +18.3% | 5.7% | €298.32 | €229.48 | n/a | 24 |
| Jan ’25 | €218.60 | €263.19 +20.4% | 5.2% | €281.70 | €228.26 | n/a | 23 |
| Dec ’24 | €220.00 | €273.21 +24.2% | 5.0% | €291.06 | €233.04 | n/a | 23 |
| Nov ’24 | €220.90 | €274.82 +24.4% | 5.4% | €293.62 | €230.36 | n/a | 22 |
| Oct ’24 | €237.60 | €275.91 +16.1% | 5.8% | €297.96 | €229.85 | n/a | 22 |
| Sep ’24 | €239.80 | €262.49 +9.5% | 7.3% | €291.19 | €221.86 | n/a | 22 |
| Aug ’24 | €249.00 | €253.34 +1.7% | 8.0% | €285.01 | €217.15 | n/a | 23 |
| Jul ’24 | €220.00 | €247.75 +12.6% | 6.6% | €274.92 | €214.44 | n/a | 23 |
| Jun ’24 | €227.20 | €246.05 +8.3% | 7.7% | €276.03 | €203.98 | n/a | 24 |
| May ’24 | €207.20 | €235.80 +13.8% | 8.3% | €267.71 | €196.02 | €243.60 | 24 |
| Apr ’24 | €206.05 | €234.21 +13.7% | 9.9% | €275.07 | €183.38 | €249.60 | 25 |
| Mar ’24 | €210.00 | €238.95 +13.8% | 9.5% | €280.53 | €187.02 | €229.50 | 26 |
| Feb ’24 | €213.10 | €232.27 +9.0% | 9.7% | €273.09 | €182.06 | €226.70 | 25 |
| Jan ’24 | €219.45 | €258.96 +18.0% | 6.3% | €290.50 | €223.03 | €218.60 | 26 |
| Dec ’23 | €246.80 | €267.62 +8.4% | 6.4% | €299.27 | €229.77 | €220.00 | 24 |
| Nov ’23 | €250.65 | €280.13 +11.8% | 6.4% | €314.31 | €241.31 | €220.90 | 24 |
| Oct ’23 | €237.40 | €280.94 +18.3% | 6.8% | €321.39 | €244.87 | €237.60 | 23 |
| Sep ’23 | €244.75 | €276.40 +12.9% | 7.0% | €316.10 | €240.84 | €239.80 | 23 |
| Aug ’23 | €240.15 | €269.09 +12.1% | 7.1% | €308.39 | €234.96 | €249.00 | 22 |
| Jul ’23 | €221.10 | €260.74 +17.9% | 7.0% | €292.53 | €215.80 | €220.00 | 22 |
| Jun ’23 | €228.90 | €254.60 +11.2% | 7.0% | €284.17 | €209.63 | €227.20 | 23 |
| May ’23 | €236.85 | €258.60 +9.2% | 7.0% | €288.96 | €213.17 | €207.20 | 23 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.