Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

DB:58U Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.6b

Uni-President China Holdings Valuation

Is 58U undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 58U when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 58U (€0.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 58U is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 58U?

Key metric: As 58U is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 58U. This is calculated by dividing 58U's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 58U's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.4x
EarningsCN¥1.76b
Market CapCN¥27.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 58U's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 58U vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
SZU Südzucker
6.8x-10.2%€2.3b
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
15.8xn/a€630.5m
NLM FRoSTA
12.2xn/a€415.6m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
9.9x-1.0%€2.0b
58U Uni-President China Holdings
15.4x7.9%€29.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 58U is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (11.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 58U's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
58U 15.4xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies17PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 58U is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 58U's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

58U PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 58U is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 58U forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.71
€0.98
+37.3%
11.6%€1.13€0.70n/a21
Nov ’25€0.74
€0.95
+26.9%
11.3%€1.11€0.69n/a21
Oct ’25€0.74
€0.94
+26.6%
11.2%€1.08€0.68n/a21
Sep ’25€0.69
€0.92
+34.3%
9.6%€1.04€0.70n/a21
Aug ’25€0.66
€0.93
+41.1%
8.6%€1.05€0.76n/a20
Jul ’25€0.74
€0.92
+23.1%
11.7%€1.06€0.60n/a20
Jun ’25€0.70
€0.91
+29.0%
11.6%€1.03€0.59n/a20
May ’25€0.61
€0.81
+33.5%
15.8%€1.16€0.58n/a20
Apr ’25€0.64
€0.82
+28.5%
14.3%€1.15€0.59n/a21
Mar ’25€0.56
€0.85
+51.0%
16.0%€1.15€0.59n/a21
Feb ’25€0.53
€0.86
+63.2%
15.9%€1.16€0.59n/a21
Jan ’25€0.62
€0.91
+47.4%
16.6%€1.23€0.69n/a22
Dec ’24€0.57
€0.91
+57.7%
16.6%€1.22€0.68n/a22
Nov ’24€0.62
€0.96
+55.5%
17.4%€1.34€0.69€0.7422
Oct ’24€0.64
€0.97
+50.9%
16.4%€1.33€0.68€0.7422
Sep ’24€0.66
€0.97
+46.9%
14.8%€1.30€0.68€0.6922
Aug ’24€0.75
€0.99
+31.5%
14.4%€1.30€0.72€0.6621
Jul ’24€0.75
€0.99
+31.9%
12.8%€1.30€0.75€0.7421
Jun ’24€0.78
€1.03
+33.5%
14.7%€1.46€0.78€0.7021
May ’24€0.88
€1.05
+19.4%
14.5%€1.44€0.71€0.6121
Apr ’24€0.91
€1.07
+17.9%
14.7%€1.48€0.72€0.6421
Mar ’24€0.83
€1.01
+21.2%
12.4%€1.23€0.76€0.5621
Feb ’24€0.88
€0.99
+13.1%
12.4%€1.21€0.75€0.5321
Jan ’24€0.91
€0.98
+8.2%
12.7%€1.21€0.74€0.6221
Dec ’23€0.81
€0.99
+22.2%
12.4%€1.24€0.75€0.5721
Nov ’23€0.76
€1.00
+31.7%
9.7%€1.19€0.76€0.6220

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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